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Effects of a business cycle
Phases of the business cycle essay
Effects of a business cycle
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The business cycle is defined as the periodic fluctuations in economic activity which is measured by the changes in real GDP. The amount of economic activity depends on factors such as how much is invested by entrepreneurs towards their business, the quality of technology used by the entrepreneur, the policies which the government incorporate etc. Gross Domestic Product measures this economic activity. It is the total value of all of the goods and services produced by all of the businesses in a country. When GDP increases over time, this signifies greater economic activity, this is called economic growth. There are four stages of the business cycle- boom, recession, slump, recovery.
A boom is a period of relatively rapid economic growth. During a boom, the level of economic activity increases with the increase in factors such as consumer expenditure, investment, export earnings etc. Unemployment will be the lowest compared to the other stages of this business cycle as growth in the economy will create new job opportunities. Also, the consumer and business confidence will b...
2007-2008-2009 global financial crisis - many people compared to the experience to another large scale depression - now coined “great recession”
After the postwar inflation came a recession where business was bad, during the second half of 1920. The next year saw a drop in wholesale prices by a third, unemployment rose to nearly five million, industrial outputs dropped by a quarter, businesses were pushed to bankruptcy, and, within some time, hundreds of thousands of farmers were forced off their lands by falling farm prices. Produce such as wheat and wool fell in price by more than half. Industry eventually recovered, except for farmers, and then came prosperity and a developing economic boom.... ...
In conclusion, regardless of Macropoland’s current economic condition, it is fair to say that it is all part of the business cycle. The business cycle has three parts: peak, trough, and peak. The peak is the date that the recession starts. In Macropoland’s case, the peak would be at the beginning of 1973, its trough somewhere between 1973 and 1974, and then its peak again at 1974. In the second scenario, Macropoland is either at its trough, where it is about to head up again because of its low inflation rate, or it is at its expansion, on its way to heading to its next peak.
Additionally, during the boom period of the roaring twenties, many people immigrated to Canada and found work in factories. Since many businesses were forced to close down due to a lack of demand and a surplus in supply, there was an even larger sum of unemployed individuals. This domino effect ultimately resulted in an unfortunate cycle. Due to the significant increase in unemployment rates in factories, many families had less revenue coming into their household. This meant that they were unable to spend their money on goods and services provided by companies.
= Mass production was also a key factor in the Boom. The new use of 'assembly lines' meant that production was far cheaper and faster. The first to start using this technology was Henry Ford, a car manufacturer. By 1925, Ford was producing one car every ten seconds, this meant more profit for America, and many jobs were available for people to work doing one job on the assembly line.
To start off, the economy boom was when many Americans came to the peak of their financial gains. Because of Americas new founded wealth, americans citizens used their new extra money on entertainment. Prohibition caused economic growth due to the illegal selling and using of liquor. More jobs became open to all people and wages, and hours increased making it easier for people to have a satisfying living. Child labor laws made restrictions on the age, and how much a child could work, and this made people way more relaxed about factory workers. Loans were an easy way for people to be able to achieve their goals during this period of time. Along with loans, credit was a way for people to use money that they may not have at the time and then pay it back to the bank later, thus the economy became very powerful coming out of the Great Depression. All of these factors led to...
The term business cycle or economic cycle refers to the fluctuations of economic activity around its long-term growth trend. It involves shifts over time between periods of relatively rapid growth of output-recovery and prosperity, and periods of relative stagnation or decline- contraction or recession. These fluctuations are often measured using real gdp.
Between January 2008 and February 2010, employment fell by 8.8 million, the largest decline in American history. The 2008 Recession, which officially lasted from December 2007 to June 2009, began with the bursting of an 8 trillion dollar housing bubble. Job losses during the recession meant that family incomes dropped, poverty rose, and people all over the country were suffering. Things like this don’t just happen. Policy changes incorporated with the economy are often a major factor. In this case, all roads lead to one major problem: Deregulation. Deregulation originating from the Carter and Regan Administrations, combined with a decrease in consumer spending, and the subprime mortgage bubble all led up to the major recession of 2008.
Mass Production reduced consumer costs and produced goods at a quicker rate, making items less expensive and businesses more profitable (WWI and Prohibition). The rich also bought into the Stock Market with hopes of making it big. The returns in the stock market only benefited the wealthy because less than 1% of Americans owned stock (Roaring Twenties, History). The economic boom lead to increased production of goods, which then lead to the creation of more jobs, which all equaled high profits. The boom is defined as being a time that involves economic and technological growth within the U.S. During the 1920’s, thanks to the economic boom, the nation’s wealth doubled (WWI and Prohibition). Most people were moving into cities and away from the farm, causing farmers to go into debt and making the rich richer and the poor poorer. Farmers were going through tough times because there wasn't a demand for products and prices of crops were
There are very many different economic indicators that are used to analyze economic activity of a company, industry, country, or region. There are three different general trends (directions for prices or rates) in the economy. "Those with predictive value are leading indicators; those occurring at the same time as the related economic activity are coincident indicators; and those that only become apparent after the activity are lagging indicators. Examples are unemployment, housing starts, Consumer Price Index, industrial production, bankruptcies, GDP, stock market prices, money supply changes, and housing starts also called business indicators." (http://www.investorwords.com/1643/economic_indicator.html)
Over the past five years the Australian economy has gone through many changes experiencing both the peaks and troughs associated with business cycle.
The boom began as a result of circumstances largely irrelevant to the general American population, but once set in motion the machine was driven by the people. People had the time and money to buy goods and invest in the economy, which boomed; so unemployment fell and wages rose. More people were employed and had money, which they used to buy consumer products, which then continued to fuel the booming economy. Therefore the main reason for the boom in the 1920s was the increased accessibility of consumer products, and the subsequent empowerment of the consumers. The boom in the 1920s marked the birth of mass market and the consumer-driven economy.
More factors that contributed to the boom were confidence, mass technologies, advertising, chain stores and big mail order companies. All these helped contribute to the boom as there were lots more products available and they were cheaper, this then made then affordable for everyone. People had more confidence in new products as they were so rich and willing to take a risk. Advertising showed all Americans what was available. Chain stores allowed people to buy things regardless where they lived as there was always a shop in that area.
bust to boom: [LONDON 1ST EDITION]. Financial Times, April 8, http://www.proquest.com/ (accessed May 13, 2011).
This Paper examines and compares various forecasting techniques used for qualitative and quantitative business forecasting and their use in Firstlogic Inc., to forecast the demand under conditions of uncertainty. Time series and Delphi forecasting methods are considered for this research to evaluate their ability to make effective decisions regarding the future.