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Impact of economic activities
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1. Explain what you would expect to see happen, and why, during a contraction in economic activity to the levels of output, employment and prices. Be sure to explain why you would expect these things to occur.
An economic contraction is a phase in the business cycle where economic activity declines. An economic contraction occurs if real GDP declines for two or more straight quarters. (Investopedia, 2013). “Real GDP (Real Gross Domestic Product) is the value of final goods and services produced in a given year when valued at constant prices.”(Parkin, 2005, p. G-7).
During an economic contraction output for durable goods (e.g. furniture, automobiles, appliances, etc.) decreases as consumers cut back on spending for these goods. Additionally, output for durable goods decreases as inventories, housing, and office space increase. Output for non-durable goods and services (e.g. food, clothing, doctors visits, etc.) during an economic contraction remains relatively constant. Output for non-durable goods remains constant due to the fact that even in an economic contraction consumers must still purchase items such as food and clothing and so the demand for these items remains constant. (Harrington, 2013).
Employment for individuals in the durable goods industry decreases during an economic contraction. During an economic contraction a shortage of jobs is caused by deficient aggregate demand, this leads to cyclical unemployment. (Harrington, 2013). Aggregate demand is the total amount of goods and services demanded in the economy at a given price and in particular time period. (Investopedia, 2013). Skilled production workers who produce durable goods are mostly affected by cyclical unemployment as consumers reduce spending on durable...
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...oyment Sources. Retrieved from http://www.amosweb.com/cgi-bin/awb_nav.pl?s=wpd&c=dsp&k=unemployment+sources Business Dictionary. (2013). Seasonal Unemployment. Retrieved from http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/seasonal-unemployment.html Harrington, C. (2013). Measuring the Macro Economy-Inflation. Personal Collection of C.
Harrington, Nova Southeastern University, Fort Lauderdale, FL.
Investopedia US. (2013). Aggregate Demand. Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/aggregatedemand.asp Investopedia US. (2013). Definition of Contraction. Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/contraction.asp Investopedia US. (2013). Definition of Structural Unemployment. Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/structuralunemployment.asp Parkin, M. (2005). Macroeconomics (7th ed.). Boston, San Francisco, New York: Addison-
Wesley.
Macropoland, a natural gas and oil importer, has a natural rate of unemployment of about 4.5% and a long run average rate of inflation of about 2%. However, there are two specific time periods where these rates fell below their potential. During the period between 1973-1974, the country had an inflation rate of about 15%, with an unemployment rate of nearly 13%. And now, they are experiencing an unemployment rate of 9% and an inflation rate of 0.4%. As their new economic advisor, it is my job to explain these two time periods.
December 2007 was the beginning of the Recession, and was by far the most dramatic employment contraction since the Great Depression. The Recession had massive job loss, fallen income for workers,
The more unemployment the less goods which causes higher prices. Making
Today more than ever, there is a major and constant fear of an impending recession in our government’s economy. A recession is a downturn in the economy when output and employment are falling for at least a period of six months. (Krugman and Wells, 2006) This is due to a number of factors: people buying less, a decrease in factory production, growing unemployment, a slump in personal income, or an unhealthy stock market. (Harris, 2002) These factors including scarcity, choice, and opportunity cost are the reasons that an economy is considered in a recession and how something like this happens.
– If output rises over the natural level of output, then you need more workers, so employment rate rises, and unemployment rate falls below the natural rate of unemployment. If output falls below the natural level of output then you need fewer workers so employment rate falls and unemployment rate rises above the natural rate of unemployment.
Second, inflation prices are going up, because of the gas prices high it effected everything a round from goods and services. Goods and services depend on gas for transportation and moving the goods from place to another. Services are going up due to higher cost of the gas. People are cutting back in the necessity like food, health insurance, and shopping. Many people have steady income and cannot effort much higher cost of anything.
Actual growth will tend to rise and fall. In some years there can be a high rate of growth; this is when the country will experience what is known as a ‘boom’. In other years quite simply growth is low or negative; this is when the country is in recession a period of ‘slump’ or ‘depression’. This series of booms and recessions is commonly known as the business cycle.
Recessions cause firms to adjust their labor force as a result of a reduction of sales and production. When a recession lowers the
Producers react by decreasing prices to clear stock. However, as production is cut back there may be a need to cut employees to reduce costs, which increases unemployment. This inturn reduces household income, and therefore household expenditure, which affects consumption. Also may affect terms of trade, which directly affects the purchasing power of domestic income, which affects supply of exports and imports. Thus, the price fall of iron ore from P1 to P2 has an aggregate reduction in demand on various AD components and GDP that shift the AD curve leftward from AD1 to AD2 that requires new equilibrium to create
When many people are out of work, production is down as well as consumption. Consumption is also lowered by inflation. Inflation lowers buying power for consumers and investors. “When the overall price level of the economy rises, consumers have to spend more in order to purchase the same amount of goods.” (Investopedia.com) GDP is not a great measure of the total welfare in a society.
...my is in recession, and on what grounds? What actually constitutes a recession, anyway? When a nation's economy enters a recession, is life guaranteed to get harder for most of its citizens?" (http://www.howstuffworks.com/recession.htm)
Economics deals with efficiency the scarce resources are used and the opportunity costs involved .The choice can be between the overall costs vs. overall quality,, and the decision would be based on the opportunity cost of the situation, opportunity cost are concepts involved in almost every aspect of the economy and how it is affected is no different when it comes to the issue of recession. When these resources are limited, the producers should make decisions about how to handle the situation. They must change their business.
In general the economy tends to experience different trends. These trends can be grouped as the business/trade cycle and may contain a boom, recession, depression and recovery. A business/trade cycle (see figure 1) is the periodic but irregular up-and-down movements in economic activity, measured by fluctuations in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and other macroeconomic variables. Samuelson and Nordhaus (1998), defined it as ‘a swing in total national input, income and employment, usually lasting for a period of 2 to 10 years, marked by widespread expansion or contraction in most sectors of the economy’. These fluctuations in economic activity usually have implications on employment, consumption, business confidence, investment and output.
With the definition in mind the important characteristics that have to be considered are as followed, the unemployment rate usually rises quickly. As well as a low inflation rate during this period. Along with a general rule that a recession must last two consecutive quarters or more but has to be less than three years. Consumer demand also becomes very low is this period as the consumers have low purchasing power, uncertainty about economics conditions, and consumers tend to
The Prosperity phase of a Business cycle is the highest point in the economic. It is also called the peak. At this point in the economy’s full employment, i.e., all persons in employment and production is at its highest level. Since no labor or production capacity remaining, there is no further economic growth. “The features of prosperity are high level of output and trade, high level of effective demand, high level of income and employment, rising interest rates, Inflation, Large expansion of bank credit, business optimism and high level of MEC (Marginal efficiency of capital) and investment (Brian Bass).” The level of production is maximum and there is a rise in GNP (Gross National Product). On the other hand, Recession phase is where economic activity becomes slower. At this stage production, investment, trade and...