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Conflict between inflation and unemployment
Conflict between inflation and unemployment
Conflict between inflation and unemployment
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Discuss the concepts of internal and external balances and what floating exchange rates can do to a country's economy
Review of the subject
When referring to the internal balance these are the goals of economics relating to full employment or a case of normal production and low inflation, that is, the prices are stabilized. In the situation of over-employment the prices of materials increase while in the case of under-employment the prices will decrease. When unexpected inflation occurs, the country finds it difficult to plan for the future and there is a case of income redistribution between traders and investors. The external balances relate to equilibrium in the balance of trade. This signifies the balance between the country’s current and capital accounts. External balances occur when the payment transactions involved induces balance of trade to zero (Anonymous, 1870-1973). Floating exchange rate is the case where the countries’ currency is determined by the foreign-exchange market through supply and demand on the Forex market. In this case the value of the currency, also called floating currencies, changes depending on the foreign exchange market (McBrewster ‘et al’, 2010).
Discussion
History has proven that it is not possible for a country to maintain the internal and external balances which comes from the argument that countries with low labor productivity cannot maintain stable price levels. The problem of low growth rate, the labor productivity sector, and poor foreign trade relations lead to increased external imbalance. The competition between home product demand and commodity export also leads to increased imbalance. It is evident that increased labor productivity results to increased economic growth and that through export of commodities there is a positive labor productivity growth. The issue concerning money equilibrium affects the internal and external balances of trade (Columbus, 2004).
Exchange rate refers to the price of a currency in relation to another. In the floating exchange rate these prices are determined by the foreign market which fluctuates occasionally. The floating exchange rates have a great impact on a country’s economy and this might trigger its stability or instability. There is an automatic adjustment in case a country has a larger payment deficit which leads to continuous currency outflow from the country. Floating exchange rate allows the government to determine the interest rates and this allows the economy to expand as the country will be charging interests depending on the currency price. Since the currency changes randomly, the exchange rates also vary from time to time and therefore it can lead to a point of economic instability (McBrewster ‘et al’, 2010).
The net values of Belarus imported goods and services from other countries exceeded its export of goods and service to other countries creating a large Current Account Deficit. The reason Belarus a former Soviet republic scraped the currency trading restriction is due to the fact its political leadership allowed the Belarus national currency ruble to depreciate as part of a strategy to reduce the current account deficit. The unification of the exchange rates will allow the currency market ability to function as before. The overheated economy under a loose monetary policy created this crisis and the difficulties will be overcome by abolishing the restriction on currency trading. The political promise of 50% increase in wages to the government workers have impacted with no real values other than buying foreign currency and goods. According to Arkhipov and Abelsky (2011), abolishing the currency trading restriction is necessary given the current practice of doin...
Since 1992, Canada has increased their amount of exports of goods year-in and year-out until slight downfalls in 2001 and 2002. However, between 1992 and 2000 they raised exports from $135 billion to $289 billion, an increase of 114%. Imports of goods also rose consistently over that nine year period from $128 billion to $244 billion. The key fact there though is that imports rose only 90% compared to a rise in exports of 114%. This has allowed Canada to maintain a very healthy trade balance, which has also risen consistently except for a few decreases in 1997, 1998, and 2002. They have not run a trade balance deficit on goods once since 1992.
So when the dollar is depreciating, the exchange rate becomes smaller. Exchange rate (foreign exchange rate, forex rate or FX rate) is the number of units of a given currency that can be purchased for one unit of another currency. The United States capital markets are becoming more attractive to foreign investors. Since the dollar is falling, it makes foreigner’s investment in the United States more affordable. Therefore, foreigners take this opportunity to invest in the United States.
Economic indicators often affect and influence the value of a country's currency. The Trade Deficit, the Gross National Product (GNP), Industrial Production, the Unemployment Rate, and Business Inventories are examples of economic indicators. We will be dealing with four specific indicators: interest rate, inflation, unemployment, and employment growth, as well as Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Real GDP is so called because the effects of inflation and depreciation are accounted for in the figures. The state of the economy is important both on a micro and macroeconomic level.
Historically, this is outlined in the domestic societal framework (a rationalist point of view dictating political outcomes as a direct result of domestic material interests in society). Whatever society wants, society gets, leaving the consumer is to benefit from a fixed exchange rate. Competition exists between all interests. Whatever interest dominates takes the winning interest. The winning interest, then, determines the outcome. With businesses facing pressure to decrease domestic prices, consumers now have the upper hand. (Wellhausen, 10-2-14). Thus, due to the enhancing credibility of the government, consumers also are to benefit from a fixed exchange rate. (Multiple governments
The leading model, Monetary Model links exchange rate movements to the balance of payment, which is used for medium to long term analysis. The following assumptions cons...
There are four types of currencies can be operated, which are a floating, managed and fixed exchange rate. Lots of developed industrial nations like US ($), UK (ï¿¡) and Japan (ï¿¥) operate floating exchange rates. A floating exchange rate is known as freely floating and should be self-regulating. It is often determined by the market demand and supply without any other government or official interference. As the exchange rate between pound and dollar for example, the price of pound in terms of dollar would decided by the demand for pounds from whom hold dollars and the supply of pounds from sterling holder who want to buy dollars.
In November of 2004, the United States ran a fifty-four billion dollar trade deficit, translating to over 600 billion for the entire year. This deficit is a result of the disparity between the amount of goods that the US imports and the amount it exports. To equalize this deficit in its current account, the American government sells assets from its capital account, often to foreign investors. This phenomenon is seen as a serious threat to the success and continued growth of the nation’s economy, tied in with popular concerns that the United States is losing its competitive and dominant edge in global economics. The traditional economic theory employed to solve this problem calls for a return to mercantile protectionism, through use of tariffs and subsidies to drive up the price of imports and lower the price of exports. Running contrary to this is a second option: increasing domestic savings and lowering government spending. These theories both aim to decrease American dependence upon foreign imports and investment, and ultimately equalize the enormous trade deficit that currently exists.
...price and devaluation of the domestic currency to bring it back to A from A’ the country has to sell off its Foreign assets.
Daniel M. Chin., Preston J. Miller. (1998). Fixed vs. floating exchange rate: A dynamic general equilibrium analysis. European Economic Review 42 (1998),
The IMF was established to promote internal monetary cooperation through a permanent institution, which provides the machinery for consultation and collaboration on international monetary problems. Also, it provides temporary financial assistance to countries under adequate safeguards to help ease balance of payments adjustments. In addition, it facilitates the expansion and balanced growth of internal trade.
As the foundation for the foreign exchange process, exchange rates are one of the most important elements in business, both internationally and domestically. Defined as the rate at which one currency may be converted into another, exchange rates are used by countries in order to purchase products or services from one another. When examining these exchange rates it is important to note that their two distinct types of rates used for global trade: nominal and real.
The foreign exchange market is one of important mechanism in the international business because foreign exchange is an intermediary for all nations in term of the growth of the economy. There are many functions of foreign exchange market in the global economy. In the international business, it uses the foreign exchange markets in four ways. First, the pay...
Daily in the USA about 38 million banknotes of various face value for total amount about 541 million dollars are issued (Facts about USA money).Dollars involve deep consequences both for the USA, and for other countries. Increase of its course relatively reduces the volume of export revenue in dollars, quite often involves more considerable, than change of an exchange rate, falling of the world prices, especially on raw materials. On the contrary, decrease in a dollar rate serves as the powerful tool promoting growth of the American export and a pushing off of competitors of the USA in foreign markets. At the same time import to the USA owing to effect of a rise in prices restrains. Thus, for the USA changes in the exchange rate of dollar anyway bring benefits and advantages.Reduction of leading positions of the USA in world economy is assisted by the international role of dollar which remains the main reserve and settlement means in world monetary system. Foreign currency reserves of the central banks of other countries for 61% consist of dollars, nearly 2/3 calculations in world trade are carried out in dollars; the dollar serves as a measure of value of many important goods (for example: oil) in the world market; in dollars 3/4 international bank crediting is made (Aleksandr Popov). Changes in the exchange rate of dollar involve deep consequences both for the USA, and for other countries. Increase of its course relatively reduces the volume of export revenue in dollars, quite often involves more considerable, than change of an exchange rate, falling of the world prices, especially on raw materials. On the contrary, decrease in a dollar rate serves as the powerful tool promoting growth of the American export and a pushing off...
Moreover, the global imbalances also make capital flowing incorrectly, from developing countries to advanced countries, from advanced countries to other advanced countries. This makes developing countries with fast productivity growth show capital outflows and vice versa, leads to the surplus of developing...