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Macroeconomic variables affecting exchange rates
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Factors that Determine the Currency Exchange Rates
Exchange rate is often referred to as the nominal exchange rate. It is
defined as the rate at which one currency can be converted, or
'exchanged', into another currency. For example, the pound is
currently worth about 1.824 US dollars. One pound can be converted
into 1.824 dollars. This is the exchange rate between the pound and
the dollar. There are four types of currencies can be operated, which
are a floating, managed and fixed exchange rate.
Lots of developed industrial nations like US ($), UK (ï¿¡) and Japan (ï¿¥)
operate floating exchange rates. A floating exchange rate is known as
freely floating and should be self-regulating. It is often determined
by the market demand and supply without any other government or
official interference. As the exchange rate between pound and dollar
for example, the price of pound in terms of dollar would decided by
the demand for pounds from whom hold dollars and the supply of pounds
from sterling holder who want to buy dollars. When people in the UK
try to buy US goods and services they will supply pounds to US,
however, when people from US try to by UK goods and services they will
demand UK pounds. At this time, the price which keeps the demand and
supply force in balance is the exchange rate between pound and dollar.
As it shows in
[IMAGE]Price of ï¿¡s in $s S D
$1.5
(FIGURE 1.1)
D S
0 Q Quantity ofï¿¡s
figure1.1, when one pound equals one and a half dollars, the price is
in equilibrium.
Although floating exchange rate is mainly affect by market forces,
actually sometimes a nation's central bank try to influence the
exchange rate. They can use the way of adjusting the interest rate to
influence the capital flow into or out of the country or directly
buying or selling the currency. The reason central bank try to manage
the exchange rate is to reduce the fluctuations around the equilibrium
So when the dollar is depreciating, the exchange rate becomes smaller. Exchange rate (foreign exchange rate, forex rate or FX rate) is the number of units of a given currency that can be purchased for one unit of another currency. The United States capital markets are becoming more attractive to foreign investors. Since the dollar is falling, it makes foreigner’s investment in the United States more affordable. Therefore, foreigners take this opportunity to invest in the United States.
The stability of currency values plays a significant role for economic and financial stability. It is not difficult to see the exchange rate fluctuations are widely regarded as damaging. As the movements of the exchange rate have significant and large effects on the trade balance, resource allocation, domestic prices, interest rate, national income and other key economic variables. Then can exchange rate movements be predicted by these fundamental economic variables?
This is a monetary policy which involves the government’s intervention to curb disorderly trends in the foreign currencies level. In case the quantity of a local currency goes down, the central bank uses the foreign currencies to buy its currency from the foreign economies. This ensures that the economy has ample home currency and thus enough money in circulation.
The value of the US dollar relevant to other currencies is a major consideration for the Federal Reserve. If they prevent large changes in the value of the dollar, firms and individuals can comfortably plan ahead to purchase or sell goods abroad.
The goal of ERM was to reduce exchange rate fluctuation and achieve monetary stability in Europe ("European Central Bank"). The ERM was a “semi-pegged system” because it uses fixed currency exchange rate margins meaning, exchange rates could vary but had to stay within a set of fluctuation boundaries of the ECU. The European Currency Unit was essentially a weighted average of all of the currencies of the European Community member countries, before being replaced by the Euro, this was Europe’s closest unit of account to a centralized currency. As we had stated above, the European Exchange Rate Mechanism attempted to minimize fluctuations between member state currencies by way of keeping each currency within a range around the ECU. The ECU was never a true currency though; the ECU was designed to a pure unit of account and the reserve asset at the center of the European Monetary System ("European Central Bank")....
International investing is something that many investors find that they can benefit from for many reasons. Two of the main reasons why investors choose to invest in foreign markets are growth and diversification. Growth allows investors the potential to take advantage of new opportunities in foreign emerging markets. International markets can potentially offer opportunities that might not be available in the United States. Diversification allows investors to spread out their risk to different markets and foreign companies other than those just in the United States allowing them to potentially create larger returns on their investment as well as reducing risks. (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, 2012) While investing internationally can be a very lucrative and rewarding decision, there are also extra risks involved with investing internationally. One of the main risks that international investors encounter is foreign exchange risk also known as currency risk. Currency risk is a financial risk that is created by contact with unforeseen changes in the exchange rate between two currencies. These changes can cause unpredictable gains or losses when profits from investments are converted from a foreign currency to the United Stated dollar. There are precautions that can be taken by investors to potentially lower their risk of currency value fluctuations and other risk factors that are present in international investing. (Gibley, 2012)
Economic risk is another type of exchange risks companies have to consider when dealing globally. Changes in exchange rates are bound to affect the relative prices on imports and exports, and that will again affect the competitiveness of a company. An UK exporter dealing with companies in the US would not want the US$ to depreciate, because it would make the exports more expensive for the US market, thus the company will loose business.
Thailand implements a controlled floating exchange rate system, pricing to market forces on the Thai baht, and the Thai central bank would only intervene in the market when necessary, in order to avoid excessive exchange rate volatility to the expected impact of economic policies. At present, the global economic slowdown, domestic demand is not good in Thailand. In order to keep the country's export competitiveness, the Bank of Thailand is more inclined to let the baht weaken.
The currencies floated the ringgit was determined by the interaction of supply and demand in the international financial markets and it should be noted that the currency has a price or depreciation does not necessarily have a fixed meaning. Then, there is a real effective exchange rate. The weights are determining by comparing the relative trade balance, in terms of the national currency with every other country in the index. For example, a barrel of Brent crude oil prices began to fall sharply in June 2014 following
This is an exchange rate system where the currency exchange rate system is allowed to be determined by the forces of demand and supply. Here, the central bank and the government do intervene to cub extreme exchange rate fluctuation by adopting monetary or fiscal policy.
In order for any country to survive in comparison to another developed country they must be able to grow and sustain a healthy and flourishing economy. This paper is designed to give a detailed insight of economic growth and the sectors that influence economic growth. Economic growth in a country is essential to the reduction of poverty, without such reduction; poverty would continue to increase therefore economic growth is inevitable. Through economic growth, it is also an aid in the reduction of the unemployment rate and it also helps to reduce the budget deficit of the government. Economic growth can also encourage better living standards for all it is citizens because with economic growth there are improvements in the public sectors, educational and healthcare facilities. Through economic growth social spending can also be increased without an increase of taxes.
Then, the currency is the exchange rate fluctuations are common in the global chain. About one political instability in various parts of the world the same factors for the global
The first of these exchange rates, nominal, is the number of units of a given currency that can purchase a unit of a given foreign currency (INSERT CITATION). When using this rate, countries are able to value of their own currency relative to one-another when trading in the foreign exchange market. This principle, however, is not exclusive to trading currencies. Similar to the nominal exchange rate, the real exchange rate uses goods and services in place of currency. As a result, it is defined as the amount of goods or services that can be traded in one country for a good or service in another country. Using this rate, countries are able to gauge the competitiveness of their goods and services in trading with any given country, making it a key factor for countries trading in the global economy.
The foreign exchange markets allow the conversion of currencies, where it helps the firms to conduct trade more efficiently across the national boundaries. In addition, firms can shop for low cost financing in capital markets all over the world and then use the foreign exchange market to convert the foreign currency that they got into whatever currency they require. With the foreign exchange nowadays, anyone can go to other country by converting their domestic currency into the foreign currency. The foreign exchange will follow the rate of exchange according to the country's rate. But still, the foreign exchange market is actually dealing with fluctuation where sometimes it has upward and downward movement.
The U.K. uses pounds and the U.S. uses the U.S. dollar. The United Kingdom has a specific symbol to represent the pound as we do for our dollar, the pound symbol is £. Using a converter, one U.K. pound equals about 1.22 U.S. dollars (USD per 1 GBP - Past 24 Hrs.). Therefore, we will have to exchange our money before we leave.