Karl Popper Falsification Essay

1598 Words4 Pages

The following essay will discuss falsification, as discussed by Karl Popper, as well has his account of the scientific method. The idea whether any scientific theory can truly be falsified will also be approached by looking at the problems presented by Popper’s theory of falsification, and the impact this has on the scientific method and science as a whole. Popper believes that science does not begin with the collection of empirical data, but starts with the formulation of a hypothesis (Veronesi, 2014, p1). Alexander Bird outlines Popper’s view on the scientific method in his book Philosophy of Science (1998, pp.239-240). This view is that scientists use a process of imagination to invent a hypothesis. However, once this has been established, …show more content…

As we have established, for a theory to be classed as scientific by Popper, it must be able to be falsified. This scientific theory would rule out something that can be expressed in a basic statement. An example of this would be the “theory that all swans are white, is incompatible with the basic statement, ‘[Look], a black swan’”. Popper calls this basic statement a potential falsifier (Newton-Smith, 1981, p49). Newton-Smith (1981, pp70-71) claims that no scientific hypotheses actually contain basic statements, he uses the example of Newtonian mechanics and their consequences, and that among these predictions we will not find any basic statements. To develop testable predictions the initial conditions and auxiliary hypotheses must be defined. If we find that after our test, the prediction and result do not match, has the theory been falsified? In fact, this is viewed as an anomaly, but does this anomaly prove the theory to be false? The short answer is no. There could be a number of reasons for an anomaly to be present in the …show more content…

Even Popper recognizes that scientists will work with theories that have been ‘falsified’, and won’t in fact discard a theory if there is no better alternative. Scientists are also able to work around the falsification of a hypothesis or theory by the addition, or change of, ad hoc hypotheses. Popper will allow the addition of an ad hoc hypothesis, however only under the condition that it is independently testable (Bird, 1998, p242-243). However, it seems that in general if scientists have working theories, they do not abandon them, even in the presence of falsifying evidence. They just keep working with the theory until the arrival of a better alternative (Ladyman, 2002, p89). Scientists have not observed Popper’s criterion of falsifiability, and his ideas of science, hypothesis and theory when applied to science are very restrictive. Bird uses the example of Darwin taking his “view [of evolution] to be confirmed by fossil remains”, but that the absence of such evidence would not falsify his hypothesis- the failure to find evidence to support his theory would not make any negative difference (Bird, 1998, p178). This is an example of a type of hypothesis that cannot be falsified called an existential statement. These are statements that predict the existence of something, but by not finding them, we cannot falsify their existence, as it could be our error that

Open Document