Difference Between Secular Shift And Critical Realignment

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The terms “secular shift” and “critical realignment” both seek to explain the abrupt and gradual changes in American voting patterns and the two major party’s unique political positions. Both shifts occur at different rates, are formed by different variables unique to the current national economic and political conditions at the time, and lead to new party developments. Critical realignments alter party loyalty or bring about the emergence of a newly shaped version of a major party; their outcomes change the future political landscape and the makeup of a party’s coalition. Critical realignments mobilize new voters through their take on new developing issues and can create a new mold of a major party. In addition, critical realignments may develop under the creation of a third party to spark the emergence of new political issues for a major party to acknowledge and shift towards to garner that support. Secular shifts and critical realignments contrast in causes, outcomes, and are influenced by …show more content…

Plurality voting and winner-take-all rules directly undermine any chance of a third party victory, leading to the perpetual existence of a two-party political system. With winner-take-all election rules making any third party victory far from possible, the two major parties can shift their identity early on in the election to align better with the concerns of the general public that may be expressed from third party support. Third parties do not pose much of a threat to the two major parties due to their inability to carry a state through electoral votes. Any large desire for policy change will likely provoke a major party critical realignment before it leads to any third party victory. The two major parties will likely, based off of historical patterns, bring forth a candidate whose campaign is unique to the nation-wide concerns, leading to a shift in overall voting

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