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Scenario planning is a practice of predicting many, reasonable and uncertain futures
(Hiejden et al., 2002).Scenario planning, which is often otherwise called scenario thinking or scenario analysis, is a strategic planning method that organizations use to make supple, durable and continuing strategies (Schoemaker, 1995) Pierre (1985) revealed that scenario planning is about determining what could possibly happen in the future.
Mercer (1995) identifies that the basic concepts of Scenario planning are relatively very simple when compared to other management topics of study. Schoemaker (2002) defines that companies need to opt scenario planning to pick the gear on changing circumstances, and to have a right strategy in time. Scenario planning helps to test the consistency in business. It is very much needed to make sure that the companies have right contents that are viable and make necessary changes to ensure the feasibility (Schoemaker, 2002).
Capon (2008) reckons that “strategy is to provide organizations with directions” to have a clear idea of the paths that a company choose to achieve its aim is very much necessary, and thereby success which is considered as the ultimate goal of any company. Strategy provides focus and overview for managers and other workers in an organization, includes management of internal as well as external stakeholders, creates competitive advantages and allows organizations to foresee the challenges to be dealt with in future regarding competitiveness and sustainability (Capon, 2008).
Strategy is originally a term used in military, which has been adopted by managers to define boundaries for their business (Nickols, 2010). Nickols (2010) states “Strategy is about means and the attainment of ends...
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...ecember, 2004 Tourism and Hospitality Research Volume 5 Number 3
12. Kotler, 2003
13. Kippenberger, 1999). Kippenberger, T 1999, 'Pitfalls in scenario planning', The Antidote, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 32-33.
14. Khan (2008) Exploring the External Environment: Macro and Industry Dynamics –thesis- Indian uni
15. M.E. Porter, Competition in Global industries (Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1986)
16. G. Yip, “Global Strategy in a World of Nations, “ Sloan Management review 31:1 (1989), 29-40
17. JISC, 2008 http://www.jiscinfonet.ac.uk/tools/scenario-planning/scenario-planning.pdf
18. Chipotle, 2011 http://www.chipotle.com/en-US/restaurants/sustainable_design/sustainable_design.aspx
19. Yahoo! Finance, 2011 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/co?s=CMG+Competitors
20. The Beat, 2011, http://beatmag.com/latest-news/japanese-tourists-decrease-singaporean-increase.html
Planning is a way to respond to the changes occurring in the environment around a person systematically. Planning is an approach towards the problem solving rationally. It can be taken as a remedial tool for creating change in the current situation in systematic and efficient way.
Wit, BD & Meyer, R 2010, Strategy: process, content, context : an international perspective, Cengage Learning EMEA, London.
Numerous definitions of strategy exist, in most circumstances strategy can loosely be explained as an overall plan of deployment of resources to ascertain a favourable position within a market (Zablah, Bellenger and Johnston 2004; Grant 1994, p 14). Further, imbedded in many successful organisations are strategies, the importance of which is to remain relevant in the market, and successful in the various attributes of business; profiteering, employee motivation, maintaining sustainable core competencies, effectiveness in operation, or efficiency in the conduction of operations. Therefore challenges involved in the formulation and implementation of a strategy can revolve around the overall external market, as well as internal
In order to gain a successfully marketing plan, it is important to marketing decision makers to understand the current situation comprehensively and trends affecting the future of the organization. There are two major reasons to explain why situation analysis plays a vital role in developing marketing plan.
Rees, J. (2012). Prescriptive strategic planning in the current economic climate and possible alternative approaches. 1-6.
In conclusion, scenarios are related to future, according to some of the authors scenarios have a static vision, but for the others scenarios include dynamic aspects. Scenario planning is process of positioning plausible scenarios. Some of the author in this field using different name for scenario planning such as scenario thinking, scenario based planning. It includes two sides, first scenario development and then strategy development. O’brien (2003) stated that scenario planning is a soft problem structuring method and qualitative approach. Schoemaker (1997) stated that scenario planning allows more subjective element and macro environment variable than computer simulation programs. Also these methods include system dynamics and risk analysis. It is easy to conclude that scenario planning is a managerial tool of strategic thinking (Bood and Postma 1998).
Planning aims to reduce uncertainty. It does this by forcing managers to look ahead, anticipate change, consider the impact of change and develop appropriate responses. (Robbins 2012) Through attempted monitoring of conditions in a changing environment, one is able to respond quicker to new information and new circumstances, thereby becoming more flexible. In addition, having the environment under constant observation enables managers to analyse how the organisation will differentiate itself from its competitors, therefore facilitating more chan...
The consultant should develop scenarios showing what could happen to the company if the change is not implemented, and examine opportunities that could be exploited.
A successful business strategy will identify changes in the external trends in the market place. Plan out what the company’s future direction is. Set out the goals for the management team. It will identify a vision of where the company wants to be in the future. Keep all employees informed of the direction of the company.
Within an organization, different types of planning are necessary to help establish the visions and goals a company has. Strategic and operational planning is essential for the success of a business. For example, Sports Authority has recently filed for bankruptcy, which is likely due to a lack of planning skills. With the addition of strategic and operational planning, the risk of going bankrupt could be significantly reduced. The many planning steps and strategies involved in these types of planning are what eventually produce the most success.
Organizations short and long-term goals for the future are predicted through strategy. Strategy refers to the plans by management that develop and sustain the advantage, so the organization can fulfill the organization’s mission. When you use strategy four key distinctions are marked. One is that when top managers systematically study both resources and external factors of the organization that can affect performance. Second, is that long-term and future-oriented strategy is built on the past and present knowledge that is of several decades and years.
The researcher has to put the plan in action mode. For example, if someone interested in pursuing his/her doctoral thesis work, he/she has to develop an action plan and implement the action plan. Though it is a miniscule approach, it will throw some light on the research topic and offer insights. This approach is not only restricted in science but also in commerce and management streams.
This type of planning usually focuses on day to day activities of the company in order to make sure everything runs
Strategic planning is the continuous and systematic process of guiding members of an organization to make decisions about its future, develop the necessary procedures and operations to achieve that future, and determine how success will be achieved.
Strategic planning is an organizational process in which it looks towards developing and sustaining success or balance in its ever changing environment.