Australian Economy Essay

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Summary
Key indicators as well as commentary analysis from leading economists suggest that Australia has indeed transitioned out of the trough phase and started the recovery stage of the business cycle, as it can be inferred aggregate demand is expanding. However government fiscal policy is not Introduction
This report will look to analyse the media commentary relating to Australia’s fiscal policy and how that will affect Australia’s aggregate demand and thus determine which phase of the business cycle to economy is in. This report will primarily focus on the commentary analysis of Bill Mitchell in particular in regards to his commentary on Australia’s governmental fiscal outlook . This report will also integrate other sources such as …show more content…

1.2 So how does this relate to Australia?
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has stated that the key to and Australian surplus is to not higher taxes but encourage revenue further re-iterating the IMF’s point. Stating "It's been very effective in other times and in other places, and is exactly how (New Zealand Prime Minister) John Key got back into balance."
Despite a record high debt to GDP ratio estimates in the same IMF working paper suggest that Australia’s Debt to GDP ratio maximum ceiling is (2.15:1) , well above its current position.
Budget estimates in the Governments last December’s Mid-Year Economics and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) suggested that the economy will experience a significant growth which according to economist Bill Mitchell are “seriously inflated … for reasons only the Treasury can …show more content…

Commodity prices were falling in international markets and significantly constraining export revenue. The investment boom that had accompanied the record commodity prices had come to an end and firms were not redirecting investment into the non-mining sector.”

“The household sector already massively indebted from the credit binge prior to the GFC were showing a desire to save at least 9 or 10 per cent of their disposable income, which meant that consumption would not make up for the lost investment spending.”
That reality soon dawned on the new Australian government and by their second year they had … realised that the economy was slowing down rather quickly and the labour market was deteriorating under their watch.”

2.1 Lagging Economic Indicators disputing

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