Case Study: Bram-Wear 1. Is seasonal exponential smoothing the best model for forecasting Urban Run athletic wear? Why? I think that seasonal exponential smoothing is not the best model to be used for forecasting for the Urban Run athletic wear. This is because it is utilized for off-seasonal time arrangement demonstrating no deliberate pattern, this implies the technique properties exponentially lessening weights as the information ages. By doing this, most recent information is given moderately more weight than past information. 2. Explain what has happened to the data for Urban Run. What are the consequences of continuing to use seasonal exponential smoothing? What models would you use? Generate a forecast for the 4 quarters of the 4th year using your model. Determine your forecast error and the inventory consequences. The information for Urban Run athletic has been smoothened utilizing the strategy, yet it winds up giving the wrong …show more content…
forecast. Since the technique has demonstrated noteworthy failures in its function, the consistent utilization of the strategy will gradually lead to information that is wrong and this will thusly give lower and lower stock levels. The straightforward moving strategy is the technique I would utilize. Demand for Urban Run Athletic Shoe Year 1 Demand Year 2 Demand Year 3 Demand Year 4 Demand Quarter 1 10 14 20 30 2 29 31 26 31 3 26 29 28 33 4 15 18 30 35 (Reid and Sanders, 2013, p.
327) It is undetermined in being able to use the forecast method due to the fact that there is not data to compare it to. Furthermore, in this case, there cannot be any ramification to the inventory that can be identified. 3. Is exponential smoothing with trend the best model for forecasting five-pocket cargo jeans? Why? I feel that exponential smoothing is a direction that is not the right strategy to use to figure for five-pocket load jean. This is on the grounds that the conjecture levels of stock are elevated to high. This misinforms the clients of the data and they wind up having an excessive amount of stock in inventory. The simple moving average technique is the strategy I would utilize (Reid and Sanders, 2013, p. 291). Demand for 5-Pocket Cargo Jeans Year 1 Demand Year 2 Demand Month Janurary 36 98 February 42
101 March 56 97 April 75 99 May 85 100 June 94 95 July 101 107 August 108 104 September 105 98 October 114 104 November 111 100 December 110 102 (Reid and Sanders, 2013, p. 327) It is undetermined in being able to use the forecast method due to the fact that there is not data to compare it to. Furthermore, in this case, there cannot be any ramification to the inventory that can be identified. 4. What method would you use to forecast monthly cargo jean demand for the second year given the previous year's monthly demand? Explain why you selected your approach. Generate the forecast for each month of the second year with your method. Determine your forecast error and the inventory consequences.
Market Analysis Summary The global sports and fitness clothing market is expected to soon reach over $125 billion dollars (PR Newswire, 2015, June 26) and individuals across the U.S. are becoming more active (Institute for Health Metric and Evaluation, 2013, Jul 10). The breadth of the overall market covers many subsets of products and consumer groups. Target segment. There are two primary segments in the market; sports apparel and fitness clothing.
Another method is forecast demand, which is based on service level via profit margin calculations. Bean will have to consider the contribution margin in case an item is bought vs. the liquidation costs spent if the item is not demanded. To calculate the item’s probability distribution of demand is a critical ratio of under stocking costs that is relative to the sum of under stocking and overstocking costs. This calculation determines at what point it is optimal to hold the stock in order to balance overstocking and under stocking costs. Critical ratio is combined with the corresponding forecast error and the number of items to stock is the product of these two numbers and the frozen
These values are based on a number of different assumptions. See Exhibit B. The forecast is not without a level of uncertainty. Specifically, there are regulatory decisions where the outcome is not clear at this time. This could impact profit margins plus or minus seven percentage points.
For the essay, I have chosen to conduct an analysis on Hoodies. Firstly I will discuss the background of hoodies, who they were originally aimed at and marketed towards. I will then move onto analysing the relationship the product has in regards to specific identities, communities, places and ideas and what types of consumer theories are specifically linked to the consumption of hoodies.
Companies like Under Armour and Nike are investing a lot of money in big data wearables. This line of products allows consumers to track their physical performance throughout their day or throughout their workouts. Under Armour provides their consumers with bigger company’s like
Has anybody here ever walked into a shoe store looking for a running shoe? You were probably dazed and confused because there were just so many different brands and styles to choose from. Now a days, shoe stores stock their running sections with different brands and styles. If you are one of those people who has not been shoe shopping in years, then prepared to be shocked. Technology and designs of running shoes have changed drastically. Running shoes are better than ever now, due to these changes. Also, with all the different name brands such as Asics, Brooks, New Balance, Nike and others, you can assure yourself your are paying for a quality product.
1. Is the international market arena in which your athletic footwear company competes characterized by multicountry competition or global competition? Explain why.
The next model is the Quadratic Trend Model. The quadratic formula uses the least-squares method to forecast and can be written as Yi =b_0+ b_1 X_1+ b_2 X_2. In this formula the only difference is b_2 X_2 represents the estimated quadratic effect on Y. Figure 1-6 represents the comparison between the linear and quadratic
In this Case Study Analyses, an objective SWOT Analyses will be done to help identify potential strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats within the Nike Corporation.
They wanted to try and introduce the product into two different markets: the industrial and business markets. They had a potential market size of 7 million vehicles and they want to market to the snow belt of America. The snow-belt represents about 50% of the nation. With that being said, the snow-belt market size would be 3.5 million vehicles. As a basis for forecasting the products sales, Webster had reviewed a study about winter driving habits of U.S. drivers. This study indicated that 18% of the cars in the snow-belt area got stuck at least 1 time during the winter. It also indicated that the average driver got stuck 1.6 times per winter. He knew that the study was several years old so he expected those numbers to be higher because of the increase in the production of smaller, lighter cars.
Inventory management is a method through which a business handles tangible resources and materials to ensure availability of resources for use. It is a collection of interdisciplinary processes including a full circle of the demand forecasting, supply chain management, inventory control and reverse logistics. Inventory management is the optimization of inventories of manufactured goods, work in progress, and raw materials. According to Doucette (2001) inventory management can be challenging at times; however, the need for effective inventory management is largely seen more as a necessity than a mere trend when customer satisfaction and service have become a prime reason for a business to stand apart from its competition. For example, Wal-Mart’s inventory management is one of the biggest contributors to the success of the company; effective and efficient inventory management is of critical importance.
Main drivers for US profitability has been within women shoes, broken down in sub categories of casual (17%), dress (13%), and athletic (10%) shoes, composing roughly a 40% demand of the market. However, domestically men’s athletic shoes represent 20% of the market and show signs of increase, globally men’s athletic shoes make up 30% of the market. This increase in sales within the athletic sub-category can be lead by the increase in demand for shoes that allow easy, fast movement. Studies show that ages within 18 and 45 in the U.S. have increased physical fitness by 17% since 2006. According to the Outdoor Industry Association, outdoor footwear grew...
The aim of this project is to highlight the product by considering the objectives of marketing and communication. Sports shoes are the most common shoes used as regular basis. These kinds of shoes are meant for running, exercise, walking .Sports shoes are commonly known as: running shoes and athletic shoes. Due to a great competition in the market of Sports shoes, Marketers are providing modified sports shoes as per requirements of customers.
Guide to Golf Apparel Golf is a popular outdoor sports. The attire you are wearing is part of the sport’s tradition and etiquette. Trendy and comfortable golf apparel should complement your performance in the golf course. Wearing the appropriate gear allows you to enjoy and have fun. When you decide for the appropriate gear, always consider the current weather and the rules set by your golf club.
In reviewing the case of New Balance Athletic Shoe, Inc. it is clear that there are a few major problems that the company is facing. First of all, New Balance falls behind its other major competitors, Nike, Adidas and Reebok, in the area of marketing. Unlike its competitors, New Balance does not undertake celebrity endorsements. This puts them at a disadvantage when it comes to brand building. This also causes the company to lose out somewhat on gaining awareness on a global scale as it lacks endorsements in major sporting events. Most global brand names generate strong brand recognition through celebrity endorsements in sporting events that would give them the needed momentum to carry their brand name further into the global market.