The Life Cycles of Civilizations

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The theory of Life Cycles of Civilizations is based upon the belief that all civilizations are subject to both growth and decline, measurable through four distinct stages. These stages can also be considered as eras. Growth and decline is based upon multiple factors, including economics, social cohesion, creativity and innovation, values, trust in authority, and industrial progress. However, it is also just as relevant to apply the idea of carrying capacity and the J-Curve to the discussion of life cycles of civilizations.

The theory of life cycles of civilizations is divided in four stages, or eras, which are applicable to all civilizations, both ancient and modern. Stage I of the model is "High Growth". This stage is characterized by great social cohesion, which is based upon the idea of future potentials for growth. There are high levels of excitement, creativity, innovation, vitality, and experimentation throughout the society as a whole.

Stage II is "Full Blossoming". This period is marked by the society's realization of its full potential. Members of society reap the benefits of Stage I's rapid growth. Creativity and innovation are much less prevalent during this period. The need for order and management in such a robust environment takes the place of rapid growth. Leaders become less accessible, while government and business grow to massive proportions.

Stage III is "Initial Decline". This period is marked by the initial unravelling of social cohesion. The absence of growth and a common idea keeps the general public disconnected. Regulation increases, and massive bureaucracies sprout up everywhere. Faith in leadership greatly diminishes. The government spends much of its time tending to the multitude of problems which...

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... society left in the ashes was a shadow of its old self, never to recover. The destruction was so severe that the island would never come close to recovery. The descendants of a once great civilization were completely disconnected from what made their ancestors so successful. Any civilization that chooses the path of the Easter Islanders is destined for complete destruction.

It is abundantly clear that population and carrying capacity play a major role in the life cycles of society. Easter island remains a perfect example of what can happen to an overpopulated society which has

exceeded its carrying capacity. While examining the factors which control the life cycles of civilizations, we must not ignore carrying capacity, population, and the J-Curve. If we take these factors into account, we stand the best chance of finding a solution that leads to sustainability.

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