My fourth topic should be familiar with majority of Americans because this method is prevalently used in American politics. The question that is posed in this topic is, discuss the nature of political polling. Be sure to discuss terms such as random sample and margin of error. What should the public look for in determining whether a poll is accurate? Political polling is a very primal methods that candidate utilize to see where they stand with the American public. Around election time weather local or national one would notice several polls being conducted and evaluated. Political polls usually give us Americans a preview of who would most likely win the election; conversely, political polls can be incorrect as well so it definitely can …show more content…
Businessdictionary.com state that margin of error is an “Analytical technique that accounts for the number of acceptable errors in an experiment. The margin of error is put into place so that an individual can review results and then determine the level of accuracy of the experiment by taking this + or - margin of error into consideration. A smaller margin of error indicates trustworthy results and a larger margin of error means the results are not considered as accurate.” If a poll does not have a margin of error associated with it, the poll would not be a credible source of information and should not be used to validate someone because there is no proof that the poll is accurate. So if one is watching the news and a poll comes in, not only that poll should be considered but the margin of error should be considered as well. Political polls have different types of ways of being conducted including but limited to random sampling. According to Ehow.com, “In a random sample, respondents are chosen based on ratio. Names and phone numbers are chosen from a list; these are counted off on a predetermined ratio (every fifth person or every seventh person). A specific number of respondents is chosen in order to represent the entire population of a selected …show more content…
It literally reduces America’s options and it creates a bias society. My fifth topic will focus on the effects of media consolidation and will also focus on the questions that follow. Discuss media consolidation. What is it? Outline the main concern some have when it comes to media coverage? Are the critics right or wrong? Initially, media consolidation according to ehow.com “refers to the concentration of ownership of news, information and entertainment sources in the hands of fewer and larger corporations as well as cross-ownership of multiple media outlets in a single market. The extent of media consolidation differs across industries and within specific national and local contexts. Advocates of media consolidation contend that it benefits consumers by improving the quality and diversity of content, while critics charge that it has the opposite effect, endangering democracy.” The concern that me and many Americans share is the fact that media consolidation is not the correct path for us Americans to walk on. Media consolidation will broadcast bias news on our television, media consolidation will brain wash majority of Americans, and media consolidation will in fact danger our democracy. Why? One may ask. Well if news is being reported by one corporation, they will broadcast what they think needs to be broadcast and not show the big picture. If they were several corporations
Every four years our nation votes for the next leader of our nation; however, it is not really the citizens of our nation but rather the Electoral College who chooses the President of the United States. The Electoral College, which is the group of people who formally elect the President and Vice-President of the United States, has been part of our nation since its inception. There are 538 electors in the Electoral College, which comes from the number of House representatives and the two Senators each state has. To win the presidency, a candidate needs 270 of those electors. It is an indirect election since the people are not directly voting for the president but rather the people of voting for their elector. The electors meet in the Capital
The general public opinion polls being analyzed and compared include the following two: a poll by the Pew organization on the topic of outside campaign spending and a poll by the Rasmussen organization on the Electoral College. Before proceeding to a comparison or analysis, the property in question for both must be identified because it will allow for analysis of aspects such as proper sample sizes and methodologies in regards to the question, which will allow for any discrepancies to appear. These discrepancies will be the evidence in support of the conclusion regarding the strength of one poll over the other.
A survey can be defined as a gathering of a sample of data or opinions considered to be representative of a whole. Such as when the United States government polls a random selection of people throughout the country to get an accurate reading of the people's overall prospective of what the American people think is best for the country. As I almost reach the age of eighteen, not only do I have to start worrying about my career and college, I have to affliate myself with a party and prepare to vote. I have taken three online polls and they all came out with similar results; I am a republican. The three polls I took were The Political Affiliation Quiz, The Political Quiz, and Political Compass. I liked them all but all for various reasons.
From even before the arrival of some of the first pilgrims to the eastern coast of the Americas, to the effects of Chief Justice Marshall’s court decisions, and FDR’s new deal. The American political system has been actively changing since over a century before the United States was founded and will more than likely continue to evolve in our present day and future. The changes of our political system can be due to multiple reasons including fear of establishing a tyrant state, such as Great Britain in the 17th and 18th century, the failure of the Articles of Confederation, the economic state of the Nation and several key historical persona with great ideologies that have molded not only politics but our Nation as a whole.
In the last three decades, polls became an important instrument for the media, especially television networks, to determine who wins and who loses the election. Caprini conducted a study about the impact of the early prediction of a winner in the 1980 presidential race by the television networks. He observed that, shortly after 8 p.m. Eastern standard time, NBC announced that, according to its analysis of exit poll data, Ronald Reagan was to be the next president of the United States (Caprini, 1984, p. 866). That early call was controversial because the polls in many states were still open at the time and, in some of th...
Gerrymandering which allow state legislatures to draw congressional districts. However, as a consequence of the gerrymandering, one political party will be favor over the other party. Therefore, strengthening the majority party while weakening the minority one what can lead a decrease of minority representation.
The question asked “ Based on your understanding of the text and class lectures, do you know enough about American Parties and elections to understand contemporary American politics?” (Take Home Test). To answer this question I would say yes I have learned enough in this class to say that I do understand enough about contemporary American politics in general. I do however believe that American politics is a living thing and that change can happen at any time and no one can learn or know enough about contemporary American politics. I think the most useful things that we learned in class to help with a general understanding is how the system works and the over abundance of problems that the system does have. The basic concepts that
While many citizens and pundits can attest to the existence of political polarization, many academics may still ask, does polarization exist? And, if so, what is it? The scholars who define polarization as institutional dysfunction tend to focus on measuring congressional performance and policy positions (Binder 2015, Mayhew 1991). Other scholars tend to differentiate between social polarization and issue polarization (Mason 2014), in which polarization happens not because of issue differentiation, but simply because partisans have inherently conflicting social identities. This essay will detail, first, the sources of polarization which are rooted in demographic change, social dislocation, elite
Political polarization is a prominent issue in elected officials today, according to a study done by Pew Research Center in 1973-74 there was substantial overlap between the most liberal and the most conservative Senators and House Representatives in the way they voted. In 1993-94 there was less overlap then there was in the 70’s, but it was still there, unfortunately in 2011-12 there was almost no overlap remaining. This shows that polarization is in fact getting worse in Congress and causing significant problems. There are many consequences of the political polarization in Congress such as (1) inability to get much done, (2) elected officials not representing the majority of American’s, and (3) further economic inequality. There are many
Sometimes who lacks a strong affiliation with a particular political party is called a swing voter. The voter’s behavior is not easy to predict in an election. Party lines may be cross by the voter. Many political parties or campaign try to win the heads and minds of swing voters, and make a hope to win the election. Swing voters play a vital role in election. Sometimes it is because so confusing for political campaigns because swing voters are undecided voters, and it is a fact that swing voters are really undecided voters. A voter who is ensuring about how they plan to vote in the election are undecided voters. There are many voters who do not have established their own personal political philosophy, and they are new
From the beginning of time people practiced an idea of political culture; the “setting of attitudes and practices held by people that help shape their political behavior including moral judgments and ideas that makes for a good society” (Sparknotes). American political culture is based on the basic ideas of political culture, in that American political culture “subscribes to general ideas including liberty, equality, democracy, individualism, unity, and diversity; although not all Americans share the same values, a vast majority abide by this idea” (Sparknotes). Our founding fathers based the U.S Constitution on the idea of political culture in trying to make good for society, the founding fathers wanted to develop a system that tailored to
There are many contradictory arguments about cross-media ownership. Some people said it is an effective way to manage media company. Also, some people argue that a media company can offer high quality information and product since they have broad network and huge capital. This information and product cannot be made with small capital. However, there are concerns that media concentration affects our society negatively.
The ideal political system can, and is, very challenging to create. We believe that the ideal system should accurately reflect the views of the people and create a system of powers that works throughout each branch of government. The branches of government include the executive, the legislative, and the courts. We also go into how these positions are elected, as well as the parties in which they are elected from. They all work together to create a sound government that will work in the best possible way.
Polls have a role in political campaigns and shaping government policies but recently the reliability of polls have come into question. The Republican polls provided the information to Presidential candidate Mitt Romney that he had a strong chance of winning key battle ground states. The polls showed "he had at least 267 out of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election" (Hoffman). When watching the election night returns the reality was Romney only received 206 Electoral College votes far away from the magic number needed to win or tie the national election. The candidate’s team used these polls and focused on states that showed a strong chance to gain votes. Romney focused his energy in Ohio and Pennsylvania, both states he eventually lost.
It 's important for us all to vote. I know that we all have different opinions, beliefs, and lives from one another. This speech is