Demographic Transition Model

American fertility

The United States Of America is a stage 4 of the demographic transition model; meaning there is a low birth rate as well as a low death rate within the population. Even though our population is the 3rd highest in the world with over 300,000,000 people, according to the CIA world factbook, Americans have 12.5 births per/1,000 people that being said we had about 3,941,109 babies born in the year 2016.(Bakalar 1). One can compare this to brazil’s population which is over 200,000,000 people making them the 5th largest country in the world based on population, Brazil is also a stage 4 country in the demographic transition model. In Brazil the birth rate is 14.1/1,000 people which makes sense when compared to America's 12.5 births when the USA's population has hit an all-time

low for fertility rate looking at this and lying it to the demographic transition model there is a chance that the united states could be entering the theoretical stage 5 where the death rate increases and the and the birth rate decreases; if we were to be entering this stage our population would still rise there is no immediate change in population until further progressing into the 5th stage.
If one were to approach our population taking in the push/pull factors that are contributed when revising our current population status a large pull factor would be immigrants coming to this country hoping to follow the “American dream” that they have heard so much about and wanting to escape the poverty they have been previously faced with in their home countries.

Even though there is a large push factor when it comes to immigrating to America which is our current president: president Trump, he has made his stance relating to the American immigration policy very clear in the sense that he’s against immigrants coming to this country by banning them from entering the united states which will not only impact the population but the economy especially if Congress decides to rescind the deferred action for childhood arrivals or DACA which protects children who were forced to immigrate to America with their parents. If president Trump continues to take the cause of action he is on now the united states population will begin to decline without taking into consideration the decrease in fertility rate in American women per 1,000

people.

The article “U.S. Fertility Rate Reaches a Record Low” by Nicholas Bakalar is a factual article written in the 3rd person about the change and analysis in fertility rates in american women;but, he left some questions unanswered if any civilian were to pick up their copy of the new york times and stumble upon this article most wouldn't understand its significance to the country unless further research was performed afterwards. This article would be easier to comprehend if additional information about fertility rates and what they mean in comparison to other stage 4 countries and their fertility rates. Paring the facts with outside resources truly gives it meaning and transforming it from number on a page to how much to expects our population to change compared to other countries.
Compare the united states fertility rates to that of another country and one would discover that even though america falls into the 4th stage of the demographic transition model americans have a low fertility rate does this imply that we as nation are making the slow transition into the theoretical 5th stage, only time will tell; but, as americans wait for these results we can look into the information we have available to us now with population records to show us what we have to look forward to in the future.