Comparison and analysis of P/E ratios on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Market

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Price to Earnings ratio (P/E ratio) also called earnings multiple of a stock refers to the measure of the price paid for a share compared to the net income or earnings of a company. The P/E ratio reflects the capital structure of the company. A higher P/E ratio means the investors are paying more for each unit of net income; therefore, the stock is more expensive in relation to one with a lower P/E ratio. The P/E ratio expressed in years, shows the number of years of earnings which would be required to pay back purchase price ignoring inflation. The P/E ratio can also show current investors demand for a company share. The reciprocal of the P/E ratio is the earnings yield. Companies with high P/E ratios are more likely to be considered risky investments than those with a low P/E ratio. If the price of a share rises and the EPS remains constant then the P/E multiple will rise, if the share price falls with a constant EPS the P/E falls. Companies that are not profitable or those companies which have negative earnings don’t have a P/E ratio.
Types of P/E ratio
There are three main types of P/E ratio:
• Trailing P/E ratio - the price/ earnings ratio for the last four quarters or of one year.
• Projected or forward ratio - the price/ earnings for the projected next four quarters or one year.
• Rolling P/E ratio - the price/ earnings ratio for the last two quarters and the projected next two quarters.
It is said that the most accurate P/E ratio is the trailing P/E since the forward and rolling P/E based on projected figures.
Importance of P/E ratio
The P/E ratio indirectly includes key fundamentals of a company such as future growth and risk. It basically takes into account the following aspects:
Past Performance – a company with ...

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... in the economy do also, leading investors to demand a higher rate of return to maintain their purchasing power. If investors demand a higher rate of return, the P/E ratio will knowingly fall.
As shown below on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Market this seemed to be the case in fact. During 2004 inflation was relatively low at 3.7%, while P/E rations was at its high of 20.61. While in 2008 inflation was at its highest peaked of 12% whereas P/E ratios were at its historical low of 12.21.

INFLATION HIGH AVERAGE LOW
12% (2012) 8.5% 3.7% (2004)

http://stockshastra.moneyworks4me.com/basics-of-investing/understanding-pe-ratio-and-its-importance/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trinidad_and_Tobago_Stock_Exchange http://www.wiseequities.com/markets/marketreports.php
http://www.cavehill.uwi.edu/fss/resources/research-and-publications/clico-s-collapse-_wayne-soverall.aspx

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