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Market efficiency theory
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1. What trade-off between inflation and unemployment did President Kennedy’s Council of Economic Advisors believe they faced? During the six years from 1958 through 1963, the unemployment rate averaged almost 6%. Prior to this ten years before it had been 2%. Kennedy’s Council of Economic Advisors proposed a policy designed to stimulate the economy and bring the unemployment rate down to 4%. At this time, it was believed that 4% was a consistent measure with “full employment.” The policy called for a major tax cut. Those who opposed the cut argued that it would be fiscally irresponsible and could lead to a deficit, with the government spending more than it received in taxes. They contended that inflation would rise and the cost of lower unemployment …show more content…
The unemployment rate fell below 4%, reaching as low as 3.5% by 1969. Unfortunately, this fall in unemployment was accomplished by raising inflation; the general level of prices in the United States rose by only 1% in 1963 but by 1969 prices were rising at an annual rate of 6.2%. To some extent, policy makers at the time thought that higher inflation was simply the price they had to pay to maintain lower unemployment. They saw this as a trade-off: lower unemployment required accepting higher inflation. People believed that inflation could always be reduced again, by letting the average unemployment return to the levels of the late 1950’s and early …show more content…
Why might there be a trade-off between equity and efficiency? Competitive markets represents an accurate market best, in that it has a strong implication that the market/economy will be efficient. Resources are scarce, and they will not be wasted. It is not possible to produce more quantity of one good without producing less of another, and therefore it is not possible to make any person better off without making someone else worse off. These results above suggest an absence of any government activity. Competitive markets determine the distribution of goods. Mainly who decides how much of the goods are available and how they should be distributed. For example, a person with high levels of competition for the services of an individual with a rare and valuable skill will result in a very high income for that individual. On the other hand, competition among suppliers of unskilled labor may result in these workers earning very low wages, so low that even long workdays fail to win them a decent standard of living. A prime example of this is sweatshops. This inequality raised above questions the fairness of competitive distribution. Although efficiency is a desirable property of any economic system, fairness is a separate issue that must be considered and together, both are not always
In 1964, the United States was still recovering from a recession when the steel companies decided to raise the price of steel by 3.5 percent. President John F. Kennedy held a press conference to discuss the issue of steel prices. In his speech, John F. Kennedy attempts to reverse the public support for the steel companies by casting them as unpatriotic and greedy to make them look bad.
Leading up to the year 1981, America had fallen into a period of “stagflation”, a portmanteau for ‘stagnant economies’ and ‘high inflation’. Characterized by high taxes, high unemployment, high interest rates, and low national income, America needed to look to something other than Keynesian economics to pull itself out of this low. During the 1980 election, Ronald Reagan’s campaign focused on a new stream of economic policy. His objective was to turn the economy into “a healthy, vigorous, growing economy [which would provide] equal opportunities for all Americans, with no barriers born of bigotry or discrimination.” Reagan’s policy, later known as ‘Reaganomics’, entailed a four-point plan which cut taxes, reduced government spending, created anti-inflationary policy, and deregulated certain products.
First, I will discuss the time period between 1973-1974. Because the unemployment and inflation rates are higher than normal, we can assume that the aggregate-demand curve is downward-sloping. When the aggregate-demand curve is downward-sloping, we know that the economy’s demand has slowed down. When the economy’s demand has slowed down, businesses have to choice but to raise prices and lay off workers in order to preserve profits. When employers throughout the country respond to their decrease in demand the same way, unemployment increases.
A key to victory this November is the unemployment rate. According to a Bloomberg National Poll conducted in March 8-11, 42% of Americans consider unemployment and jobs as “the most important issue facing the country right now” (Priorities). Although there has been 24 consecutive months of private sector employment growth, the Federal Reserve suggests that the numbers could fade in the coming months. The importance of creating more jobs cannot be stressed enough. No President in the recent era has been reelected with the unemployment rate above 7.2% (Roth). To paint a picture, in late 1982, the unemployment rate topped 10.8 under Ronald Reagan. However, about 36 months later, the rate dropped to 7.2% percent. The drastic drop in the n...
When President Reagan took office, the U.S. was on the back end of the economic prosperity World War 2 had created. The U.S. was experiencing the highest inflation rates since 1947 (13.6% in 1980), unemployment rates reaching 10% in 1982, and nonexistent increases GDP. To combat the recession the country was experiencing, President Reagan implemented the beginning stages of trickle down economics – which was a short-term solution aimed to stimulate the economy. Taxes in the top bracket dropped from 70% to 28% while GDP recovered. However, this short-term growth only masked the real problem at hand.
The trends in unemployment affect three important macroeconomics variables: 1) gross domestic product (GDP), 2) unemployment rate, and 3) the inflation rate.
The terrible economy under President Carter’s was a large factor to ascendancy of the conservative movement. The economy was far from fruitful and it was in a terrible recession. Many historians credit the economic crisis during the Carter Administration to inflation. Half of all of the economy’s inflation since 1940 occurred in a ten year period and interest rates were rapidly rising putting mortgages out of reach for many middle class Americans. While the interest rates were on the rise, home rental rates in many parts of the country doubled. In addition to the rising costs in living, college tuition...
When most people think 1950’s the popular show “Happy Days” comes to mind; although, these were anything but happy days. The 1950’s were an era of prosperity, growth, and chaos in the United States; men were returning from World War 2 and many new babies were born. The population during this time was about 151,684,000 with an unemployment figure around 3,288,000 (Bradley). Industries began to expand in order to meet the needs for all the new people looking for work and thirty percent of the work force was in industry and commerce. Corporate America was emerging and corporation profits increased such that change could be seen on a macro scale. The economy was booming steady until the recession in 1957; although, this recession was nowhere near as great as the depression.
In response to this growing problem, the chairman of the Federal Reserve Paul Volcker promised to “slay the inflationary dragon,” by sharply decreasing the money supply., Volcker did just that, raising interest rates to a resounding 20% by June of 1981. The short-term impact of the exorbitant spike in interest rates led to worsened recession in 1981 and 1982, as consumers were not eager to take out costly and burdensome loans to spend money on houses. Indeed, the national unemployment rate shot up to 10% in 1982, the highest rate since the Great Depression. The hardship was short-lived, however, and the inflation rate fell from its 13.5% peak in 1980 to just 3.2% in 1983, ushering in a new era of economic growth., Volcker lowering interest rates “caus[ed] housing to spring back-- and it was housing that mainly drove the recovery.” The economic success of the contraction and subsequent release of the money supply was simply a matter of fixing inflation and unleashing free-market capitalism with lower interest rates. Fixing inflation had nothing to do with Reagan, so while “Reagan got the political credit for ‘morning in America,’ Mr. Volcker was actually responsible for both the slump and the boom.” In fact, Volcker was not even appointed by Reagan, but by Carter. For these reasons, Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman argues that “Reaganomics was basically
The 1960s was a period of prosperity for the America. This was largely due to policies and the tax cuts that President Kennedy initiated at the beginning of the decade. His tax cuts were successful in lowering unemployment, encouraging people to invest more, and making the overall economy improve. To begin a period of prosperity there must be something to start it off. A tax cut gives people an incentive to work, save, and invest. President Kennedy said, “A rising tide lifts all boats” (Garfield, 1). This is proof that the government can have a big role in the economy. The Kennedy administration cut business taxes as well as investment taxes. This caused the Gross Domestic Product to grow by 4.5 percent in the 60s as compared to only 2.4 percent from 1952 to 1960 (Garfield, 3). Many people were worried that these tax cuts would raise the deficit, which makes since because lower taxes means the government will receive less money. However this was not true. The tax cuts increased spending and investment to much that the government’s revenues increased 6.4 percent as compared to 1.2 percent from 1952 to 1959 (Garfield, 3). This proved that cutting the taxes can stimulate the economy enough to raise the government’s budget. This intervention by the government raised the standard of living for American citizens as well as increasing government revenue.
On October 24, 1929, a day historically known as “Black Thursday”, the United States stock market crashed due to investors in the market starting to “sell off their shares, which resulted in a decline in stock prices.” (Dau-Schmidt, pg 60) This economic downturn in the market gave birth to financial ambivalence in the country, increasing unemployment, as well as other consequences on the landscape of international economics. When President Franklin D. Roosevelt took over as president in the year of 1933, “The country was in its depth of the Great Depression.” (Neal, 2010) Roosevelt’s New Deal consisted of implementing relief programs such as the Work Progress Administration and the Civil Works Administration, which aimed at revitalizing the U.S. labor market. However, these programs were short-lived due to insufficient funding. Although these programs were effective, their short life span only sought temporary remedy. The on again off again pattern of these programs existence caused a cyclical trend in the increase and decrease of unemployment. “John M. Keynes born on June 5, 1883 was one of the most influential economists of the Twentieth Century.” (Pettinger, pg 1) Keynes argued that the doctrine of the New Deal was a slow remedial procedure to restoring the economy. Although, Roosevelt’s efforts helped reduce unemployment in spurts, it was ultimately an ineffective plan because according to Keynes, to restore the economy during the Great Depression, there had to of been deep government spending and increased high taxes.
In 1973, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) reported that they would no longer ship petroleum to any nation that upheld Israel in the Yom Kippur War, The United States were one of those nations. Not just were they not working with any country that upheld Israel, OPEC nations likewise raised their costs from 3$ a barrel to 15$ a barrel. As an aftereffect of this new advancement, The United states encountered its first fuel lack in somewhere in the range of 33 years. (Brinkley, 745-746). At first President Nixon's solution for our monetary challenges was to diminish spending and raise taxes. At the point when these strategies demonstrated excessively troublesome, making it impossible to proceed with, Nixon attempted to control the money by raising loan fees. Nixon restored the United States economy quickly through a progression of activities that incorporated a ninety-day solidifying of all wages and costs at their current levels, and in addition wage and cost expanding. At last, however, inflation roses significantly and the retreat in the U.S. proceeded. (Brinkley,
Unemployment had millions of families with out jobs and struggled to survive and live an everyday life. During 1926, 23.5 of the people were jobless it was the longest lasting American economic downturn in American history. Unemployment causes people to be in debt and not pay off there loans.
The Fed desires to maintain high employment because the condition of high unemployment, the alternative, creates idle workers and idle resources. This leads to closed factories, unused equipment and materials, ultimately decreasing our GDP. Now, let me further explain that the goal for high unemployment is not an unemployment level of zero, rather a level above zero where labor demand equals labor supply. This is known as the ‘natural rate of unemployment’.
Mouhammed, A. H. (2011). Important theories of unemployment and public policies. Journal of Applied Business and Economics, 12(5), 100-110.