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The euro and its impact
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2. Outline the adverse selection and moral hazard problems that existed in the Euro crisis of 2009. (approx. 2 double spaced pages; 10 marks)
Moral Hazard
In 1997, Eurozone rules of Stability Growth Pact has outlined Budgetary Discipline to reduce moral hazard and free riding problem. It required all nations in Eurozone to limit its annual deficit and maintain a stable economic growth. Specially, there isn’t bailout permitted. However, some countries never met the debt rules since the very beginning, while others gradually broke the rules, with incentives to take advantages on the alliances and achieve its own development.【一】8
In particular, these countries and their bank take scale of Euro alliance for granted such that they engaged in excessive borrowing and lending. They thought that the Euro alliance was a huge safety net that is “too big to fail” such that it seemed to be less costly for risk taking. When every Euro nation reckoned and behaved the same way, heavy indebtedness and deep insolvency accumulated into a big crisis. 【二】20
In addition, corruption existed in Euro alliance. The transparency of regulation is doubtful. As I mentioned before, rules breaking had been a consistent issues, but no one was penalized for its offence. Poor monitoring of Euro regulators connived the moral hazard and free-riding problem.
【一】 G. Georgopoulos “euro crisis debt lecture.pdf”. University of Toronto. 04, 2016, ppt8
【二】 G. Georgopoulos “euro crisis debt lecture.pdf”. University of Toronto. 04, 2016, ppt20
Adverse selection
When risk loving investors or investors with poor credit were selected for loans, adverse selection problem takes place.
In case of Euro crisis, risk loving investors tended to take advantages on the other p...
... middle of paper ...
...ced page; 10 marks)
No, abandon capital (safety) in return of profitability is not what regulators desire. Regulators care more about the well-being of banks owner and banking system. As I mentioned before, there is a trade-off between safety and profitability. Holding too less capital will largely increase risk of bank’s debt insolvency. A certain amount of capital is required to serve the bank as a buffer against the potential defaults and crisis. 【c】
【a】Frederics S, Mishikin and Apostolos Serletis. "Chapter 13: Banking and the Management of Financial Institutions " The economics of money, banking and financial market. 5th Canadian. Pearson, 305. Print.
【b】Frederics S, Mishikin and Apostolos Serletis. "Chapter 13: Banking and the Management of Financial Institutions " The economics of money, banking and financial market. 5th Canadian. Pearson, 306. Print.
【c】Ibid
In addition, the Federal Reserve did badly on supervision of the financial market. Many banks did not have enough ability to value their risk. The Federal Reserve and other supervision institution should require these banks to enhance their ability of risk valuing.
Bernd C Kieseier, and Hans-Peter Hartung. Also used for this paper was the article “The risk of
Eccles, George. The Politics of Banking. Salt Lake City : University of Utah Press, 1982
In October of 1929, the American economy took a huge hit from the stock market crash. Since so much people had invested their money and time in the banks, when the banks closed many had lost all of their money and were in the deep poverty. Because of this, one of my first actions of the New Deal was the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Every bank in the United States had to abide by this rule. This banking program I launched not only ensured the safety and protection of deposits made my users of banks, but had also restored America’s faith in banks, causing people to once again use banks which contributed in enriching the economy. Another legislation I was determined to get passed...
Binhammer, H. H. & Peter S. Sephton. Money, Banking and the Financial System. Nelson, 2001.
"Europe must prevent Greece from becoming an out-and-out catastrophe and make sure that the same fiscal 'remedy' is not applied to other weak economies" -- MEP, Franziska Brantner.
If financial markets are instable, it will lead to sharp contraction of economic activity. For example, in this most recent financial crisis, a deterioration in financial institutions’ balance sheets, along with asset price decline and interest rate hikes increased market uncertainty thus, worsening what is called ‘adverse selection and moral hazard’. This is a serious dilemma created before business transactions occur which information is misleading and promotes doing business with the ‘most undesirable’ clients by a financial institution. In turn, these ‘most undesirable’ clients later engage in undesirable behavior. All of this leads to a decline in economic activity, more adverse selection and moral hazards, a banking crisis and further declining in economic activity. Ultimately, the banking crisis came and unanticipated price level increases and even further declines in economic activity.
Historically, financial crises have been followed by a wave of governments defaulting on their debt obligations. The global economic history has experienced sovereign debt crisis such as in Latin America during the 80s, in Russia at the end of the 90s and in Argentina in the beginning of the 00s. The European debt crisis is the most significant of its kind that the economic world was seen started from 2010. Financial crises tend to lead to, or exacerbate, sharp economic downturns, low government revenues, widening government deficits, and high levels of debt, pushing many governments into default. Greece is currently facing such a sovereign debt crisis and Europe’s most indebted country despite its surplus in the early 2000s. Greece accumulated high levels of debt during the decade before the crisis, when the capital markets were highly liquid. As the crisis has unfolded, and capital markets have become more illiquid, Greece may no longer be able to roll over its maturing debt obligations. Investment by both the private and the public sectors has ground to a halt. Public sector debt has increased substantially as the state had to rely on official assistance to payroll expenses, fiscal deficit and fund social payments.
Ritter, Lawrence R., Silber, William L., Udell, Gregory F. 2000, Money, banking, and Financial Markets, 10th edn, USA.
Eurozone crisis can be seen as the most important economic problem of the European Union in the history. Because of that crisis the currency union have faced the possibility of separation which is an extremely critical issue not only economically but also politically. Until the subprime crisis which became prominent by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in 2008, the economic level of the EU members were similar. When the bankruptcy occurred those countries started to differentiate in a very significant way. Total government debt and also problems of banking sector lead many countries to negative GDP growth, high unemployment rates and more importantly social unrest.
[7] Stephen A. Ross, Randolph W. Westerfield, Jeffrey F.Jaffe and Bradford D. Jordan. Modern Financial Management, pp. 333.
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Do capitalized bank is contribute more on bank performance compare to other variables? Did relationships between determinants of banks’ profitability change during the financial crisis? This study therefore, intends to examine the bank specific and macro determinants on banks’ profitability, the impact capital and financial crisis on banks profit. To answer the research questions, the dissertation selected 27 commercial banks in Malaysia including local and foreign banks to fill this gap.