According to this strategy, first the BMA technique described in section 2 is used to collect DT models. Then posterior probabilities of using attributes in the ensemble of DT models are estimated. These estimates give us the posterior information on feature importance. Having obtained a range of the posterior probabilities, we then define a threshold value to cut off the attributes with the probabilities below this threshold – we define such attributes as weak. At the next stage we find the DT models which
Pierre-Simon Laplace was born on March 23, 1749 in France (Pierre-Simon Laplace, 2000). He was a mathematician and astronomer who made great findings that contributed to mathematical astronomy and probability (Pierre-Simon Laplace, 2000). Not much is known about Laplace’s childhood because he rarely ever talked about his early days (Marquis de laplace, 2013). However, it is known that his family was middle-class and rich neighbors paid for him to attend school when they realized how talented the
can aid in the individual's perception of probability in achievement. If an individual's perception of the task has a high probability of success, then motivation will ensue. Subsequently, if the individual feels there is little chance, then a lack of motivation occurs. From there the individual will attempt to analyze the probability that if this task is achieved, the desired outcome or reward will be acceptable and bestowed. This analysis of probability is labeled performance-to-outcome expectancy
of the bomb exploding, it at least seems highly probable that a greater amount of pain would be caused, at least in the present, by the bomb exploding. This probability suffices for a quantitative utilitarian, but it does not account for the consequences, which create an entirely different problem, which will be discussed below. The probability also does not hold for Mill's utilitarianism. Mill's Utilitarianism insists on qualitative utilitarianism, which requires that one consider not only the amount
whites "thirty to five" and could easily fill their starving bellies. Marlow "would have as soon expected restraint from a hyena prowling amongst the corpses of a battlefield." The cannibals action is "one of those human secrets that baffle probability." This helps Marlow keep his restraint, for if the natives can possess this quality Marlow feels he certainly can. Kurtz is the essence of the lack of restraint Marlow sees everywhere. Kurtz has "kicked himself loose from the earth." "He
The Probability of Extraterrestrial Existence Frank Drake, an American astronomer made an equation to find the probability of finding aliens in our galaxy. The probability of humans finding extraterrestrial intelligence in our galaxy equals Nfpnef1fifcfL, where N equals the number of stars in the Milky Way, fp equals the fraction of those stars having planets, ne equals the number of those planets that can support life, f1 equals the number of those planets on which life arises, fi equals the
itself goes on for about 1200 hours. The staggering length of the computation of the proof is what creates some controversy in the mathematical world. The Appel-Haken Theorem is based on numerous assumptions, “that there is an overwhelmingly great probability that their method of proof must succeed.” [3] It assumes that the theory itself is correct, but the theory itself is also an assumption. You can see why this issue has been wreaking havoc for many years. It all started back in 1852 when Francis
wall, onto which shadows of puppets and themselves are projected. They are deceived into believing that their reality is composed of these "shadows" when actually, the world of truth is the "light" outside the cave. This analogy insinuates the probability that we have been entertaining "false notions" about life, and all our beliefs, ranging from religion to the sciences, are merely representations of the truth. What is this "light" that burns so bright in Plato's eyes? Are we certain that it exists
can be found in one another. All materials deform when subjected to stress and it is necessary to be able to calculate the deformation of a body under load, because in most cases the deformation is more momentous than the stress. Stress is in all probability the most imperative word in the subject matter of strength of materials. Stress is defined as force per unit area. It has the same units as pressure, and in fact pressure is one special variety of stress. However, stress is a much more complex quantity
before the ability to understand the potential consequences of these actions. Parents who insist on keeping guns in the home should be urged strongly to store their firearms unloaded and locked in a secure place. Actions like these will reduce the probability of children being killed by a firearm. The presence of handguns in households with children frequently leads to fatal accidents, suicides, and murders. The majority of handguns kept in homes are NOT kept safely locked up, simply because people are
Generally, as figure 1 shown that the Strengths for this supply chain is good for short run production and hard make mistake. It could avoid the lack of materials and make materials mixed together. However, the Weaknesses for this supply chain is complex which are much labor spending and low work efficiency, especially that new staff needs spending long time to adapt to the job. Certainly, X1 also knows the disadvantages for their supply chain and makes some special change for the disadvantages and
Introduction and Rationale Talk moves are strategies that are used to promote, guide, and enhance discussion between a teacher and students and amongst the students themselves and also to hold students more accountable for their own learning and participation in the classroom. The talk move strategy that I choose to analyze from my own teaching was revoicing. Revoicing is where the teacher restates a question or statement that a student asks or says. The main purpose for revoicing what a student
Pierre-Simon, marquis de Laplace was born March 23, 1749, Beaumount-en-Auge, Normandy, France and died March 5, 1827, Paris. He was a French mathematician, stargazer, and physicist who was best known for his examinations concerning the soundness of the close planetary system. Laplace was the child of a worker agriculturist. At a young age, he immediately demonstrated his scientific capacity at the military foundation in Beaumont. In 1766 Laplace entered the University of Caen, yet he cleared out
exist. Homeless people are the result of continuous societal problems with no easy solutions; even when some manage to pick themselves up and get back on track, there are always more displaced people waiting to take their places. The probability of becoming homeless is like playing a game of Russian Roulette. Job security is taken for granted, but when the bullet is fired, it could be you receiving the pink slip. Mary and her family, a generic example, are a casualty of this game. Her
and the third says that both of them abused [Christ]….But all four were there." The reports of the Evangelists shows that probability determines human life. That each Evangelist speaks of a different fate for the thieves prove the role of chance in our existence. It is generally accepted that one thief was saved and another one damned, which further illustrates the probability of life. In addition, Beckett expands on this paradox by stating, "Do not despair; one of the thieves was saved. Do not presume;
tasks that involve both choice and pricing show a pattern of responses known as preference reversal. That is, although subjects in a choice condition generally will give higher preference ratings to “safe';, high-probability/low-payoff, bets than to “longshot';, low-probability/high-payoff, bets, when they are asked in a pricing condition to generate an amount of money that they would accept to avoid the gamble altogether they tend to give higher values for longshots over safer bets. Tversky
automatically taken under risk while sometime I think many times before taking a risk. Sometimes due to lack of knowledge, decisions may take us to greater extent of risk. It’s my personal opinion, that every person on this earth aspects the risk but probability varies. In my life, sometimes I am idealistic or pragmatist or opportunists too, as these things have their own importance in my life. For example, if have set a goal in my life first I need to be idealistic so that I can pursue my aim in my life
blood pressure that was used for 170 years, which advanced the medical field. Daniel’s way of measuring pressure is still used today to measure the air speed of a plane. Without the Bernoulli family’s contributions and advancements to calculus, probability, and other areas of mathematics and science, mathematics would not be where it is now.
debate. (1) According to recent research there are several things that can cause schizophrenia. Genetic makeup among individuals affected by the disorder seems to be a significant factor. The probability of an offspring with two unaffected parents developing schizophrenia is only one percent, yet this probability increases to thirteen percent among people with one affected parent. Offspring that have two schizophrenic parents have a 35 percent chance of developing the disorder. (1) The environment
relationalization of the concepts of element and set means that in the final analysis the World exists as an indivisible whole, not as a set (of one or another kind of elements). Therefore, we have to describe quantum systems in terms of potentialities and probabilities: since quantum systems cannot be analyzed completely into sets of elements, we can speak only of the potentialities of isolating elements and sets within their structure. On the other hand this quantum property of the world as an indivisible whole