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The art vs science issue in teaching
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Financial Modelling: Risk and Reward
Kenneth H. Adley
Marylhurst University
Real Estate Finance
RES 530 A1
Scott Mazzuca
July 3, 2016
ABSTRACT
The purpose of this paper will be to compare and contrast the summary positions of P. Kamp’s article, The Fundamental Problem with Financial Models (2016) with P. Linneman’s text,
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities (2011) regarding financial modelling. Additionally, the pitfalls of financial models will be identified as well as proposed solutions. While financial models are “as much art as science” (Mai, 2011), there are successful strategies to overcome the potential flaws of financial modelling.
Financial Modelling: Risk and Reward
Summary Positions on Financial Modelling by Kamp and Linneman
P. Kamp’s (PK) article, The Fundamental Problem with Financial Models (2016), expresses that most financial models are fairly accurate in providing a good representation of asset or market performance. The drawback, it is only a model. While specifically
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(2015, February 12). The Pros and Cons of Financial Modelling. Value Edge. Retrieved from http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/02/pros-cons-financial-modelling/
Ehrhardt, M. & Brigham, E. (2011). Financial Management: Theory and Practice (13th Ed.). Mason, OH: South-Western Cengage Learning.
Kamp, P. (2016, March 11). The fundamental problem with financial models. DQYDJ. Retrieved from https://dqydj.com/the-fundamental-problem-with-financial-models/
Linneman, P. (2011). Real estate finance & investments: Risks and opportunities. Philadelphia, PA: Linneman Associates.
Mai, L. (2011, November 30). Building a financial model is as much an art as it is a science. World Press. Retrieved from http://financialmodelingtutorial.com/about/
Okwuduche, C. (2013, February 13). What is sensitivity analysis. Investment & Business Accountants. Retrieved from
Muller, J., Welch, D., & Greene, J. (2000, September 18). Businessweek - Business News, Stock Market & Financial Advice. Businessweek - Business News, Stock Market & Financial Advice. Retrieved April 17, 2011, from http://www.businessweek.com
“One of the very nice things about investing in the stock market is that you learn about all different aspects of the economy. It's your window into a very large world,” Ron Chernow once said. The stock market is undoubtedly an incredibly important economic feature, one that our modern world depends on. Indeed, the stock market is so integral to our life today that it can serve as a valuable tool where financial literacy is concerned. Two of the most important financial lessons that the stock market teaches are financial literacy terminology as well as a historical understanding of stock market institutions. The Stock Market Game simulation serves to teach these lessons in a secure environment, and
Financial Future: Where Will it be in 10 Years? Retrieved on November 20, 2013 from
Ross, S.A., Westerfield, R.W., Jaffe, J. and Jordan, B.D., 2008. Modern Financial Management: International Student Edition. 8th Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill Companies.
In the first place, a main theoretical cornerstone for the EMH to be a consequence of equilibrium in capital markets is that markets are always rational. This is against the realism. Even if the foregoing assumption turn out to be entirely possible, many recent studies have concluded that rationality is not always a realistic assumption as investors in many cases engage in irrational investment (Kahneman and Riepe, (1998)).
The MDA model also showed potential to ease some problems in the selection of securities for a portfolio, but further investigation was recommended.
The following essay will expand on the usefulness and flaws of CAPM and other asset evaluation frameworks and in the end showing that despite all the evidence against CAPM it is still a useful model for determining asset investments.
Among all the programs available, I firmly believe that the Master in Finance program at Princeton University will be the ideal preparation for my career because of its strong emphasis on quantitative techniques with practical business problem solving. The core courses offered by the program will help me build concrete foundation in financial theories and computational methods; the elective courses, such as Forecasting and Time Series Analysis, will further enhance my modeling techniques for financial forecasting in a broader application. Besides excellent teaching fellows at Princeton University, the close personal attention from academic and career advisors will be invaluable to my professional growth. Furthermore, the small cla...
Ritter, Lawrence R., Silber, William L., Udell, Gregory F. 2000, Money, banking, and Financial Markets, 10th edn, USA.
Asset allocation decisions made by an investor are considered more important than other decisions such as market timing or security selection. In the research provided by Hensel (1991), performance attribution is one of the main components when choosing the right assets in a portfolio. The impact of any investment decision can be measured by comparing its outcome with the outcome of some alternative decision. Furthermore, according to Hensel (1991), every investor has to incorporate the minimum-risk portfolio, which is a combination of securities or asset classes that reduces the uncertainty of future portfolio returns to a minimum.
In order to understand the concept of financialization and the housing market on the global and local level, one must know that there is a global pool of money that is simply the worlds savings bank. In 2000 the pool had $36 trillion and has since doubled in size (Blumberg 2008). Its most recent profit increase was a result of developing countries and cities such as India, Abu Dhabi, and China making money. This doubled the cash pool available for investments, but left fewer solid investments for the taking. The solution was residential mortgages and the US housing market. The investment managers thought the low-risk high-return investment in the housing market was a good, stable idea. The glo...
Though the academic level of McGill was extremely challenging, I looked for resources outside the classroom to hone my financial knowledge. I was an active member of...
I became an enthusiast of finance ever since I was at high school. At the political economy class, my teacher asked us: if you have a million RMB, how would you use it? She then introduced us the concept of investment, and I was intrigued specifically by the stock. For the latter two years of my high school, I have been reading books and articles regarding the stock market in the U.S. and in China. As one of the outstanding students ranked top 1% in College Entrance Exam in Hainan Province, China, I was accepted by the City University of Hong Kong with a full scholarship. With the strong interest in finance, I chose quantitative finance and risk management as my major.
Block, S. B., & Hirt, G. A. (2005). Foundations of financial management. (11th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill.
Financial theories are the building blocks of today's corporate world. "The basic building blocks of finance theory lay the foundation for many modern tools used in areas such asset pricing and investment. Many of these theoretical concepts such as general equilibrium analysis, information economics and theory of contracts are firmly rooted in classical Microeconomics" (Oaktree, 2005)