The audio that I listened called Stochasticity, says a lot about human inferences and slippery evidence. Slippery evidence can affect human inferences. What this is saying is that at first we may infer or think one thing, but as we look further we see that something else is true. The audio guides us through three main stories, a very lucky wind, seeking patterns, and random rules. The first story, a very lucky wind was about a girl named Laura, who wrote on a balloon “please return to Laura Buxton.” After letting the balloon go, the balloon lands just 140 miles south in the yard of a girl named Laura Buxton also. You could say at first that it was fate that the balloon landed there, but it was actually just chance. The second story was about …show more content…
a woman named Evelyn Adams who won the lottery twice. The odds that those two particular lottery tickets are winning tickets are 1 and 17.3 trillion. That may seem to good to happen, but it would actually be very surprising if it didn't happen twice. Everything happens for a reason.
My family and I recently moved to Texas this summer for my dad’s job. This summer was the first summer that I didn't get to spend with my childhood friends from Kentucky. I wasn't really set on the idea that I had to spend an entire summer with just my parents and sister in a huge city where I knew no one. I hated the fact that I wouldn't get to see my best friend Allison, who I literally spent every waking moment with, all summer. The first couple weeks of being in Texas were pretty boring, I literally sat in my room 24/7 watching the entire series of Gossip Girl and One Tree Hill. It was the fourth week of being in Texas that my dad told my sister and I that we were going to go to one the Houston Dynamo soccer games. When we got there we went and sat with a group of my dads coworkers and there families. While I was there my sister and I met one of my dads coworkers daughter. Surprisingly her name was Allison and she was the same age as us. Her dad had recently just moved to Houston also so she didn't really know anyone also. The next couple weeks after the soccer game we started to hang out with Allison. She was exactly like my best friend Allison from Kentucky. We ended up becoming best friends over the summer and found so much to do in Texas. It was so unusual to think that meeting her was an
accident. I learned a lot from listening to this audio. I learned that If something happens that is too unusual for me to believe to have happened, it may not be luck but by chance. What I mean by this is similar to the story told in the audio. The story that was told in this audio was about a “blade of grass” It was a story about a golfer hitting the ball into a particular blade of grass. It talks about the odds of that ball landing in that particular grass. If you were to look at it in the perspective of the blade of grass you would think it was a miracle. But it would have landed on some blade of grass somewhere so some blade of grass would have thought it was a miracle. The blade of grass is sort of like Allison the girl I met in Texas. If I wouldn't of had a seat next to her at the soccer game I would have never met someone just like my best friend from Kentucky.
Well there is always the fate aspect in everything that occurs in our lives but majority of the outcomes created from the individuals own decisions. It is up to the individual to determine what can occur, if they do one thing then something will be the outcome. A side from that, there is always the possibility of being at the wrong place at the wrong time which can have an affect of on the outcomes of life.
Many theories of logic use mathematical terms to show how premises lead to conclusions. The Bayesian confirmation theory relates directly to probability. When applying this theory, a logician must know the probability of a given situation, have a conditional rule, and then he or she must apply the probability when the conditional rule is applied. This theory is used to determine an outcome based on a given condition. The probability of a given situation is x, when y occurs, or the probability is z if it does not occur. If y occurs, then the outcome of the given would be x. For example, if there is a high probability that a storm will occur if a given temperature drops and there is no temperature change, then it will most likely not rain because the temperature did not change (Strevens, 2012). By using observational data such as weather patterns, a person can arrive at a logical prediction or conclusion that will most likely come true based...
Then on January 18th we started texting about our issues. My friend had not been very nice lately, and she had changed since she was my buddy in crime in elementary school. So, we started texting about our issues. I was about to send the text, “Gtg”, and go downstairs for dinner, when she sent a text saying, “I don’t think we should be best friends anymore.” As soon as the text lit up on my phone screen, I started sobbing. I was heartbroken, destroyed, and most of all, disappointed. My best friend since 2nd grade had told me she didn’t want to be my best friend anymore, and ever since then, it really did feel like that. I was lucky if I ever felt that we were just acquaintances. This text devastated me. In most situation, if you make a friend in early elementary school, usually you’re friends and you stay friends forever, and get closer year by year. But, in my case, that fate did not happen. My best friend turned around on me and said she didn’t want to be my best friend anymore. So I realized that even though friends can promise things, you never know what will happen to a friendship five years in the future, but if friends are loyal to you, a friendship could last a
Before, I could even take note, it was already October. It was time for me to pack everything in my room, and say my final goodbyes to my family members. I was going to leave everything that meant a lot to me behind. Previously, before October, we picked up my dad from the airport so that he could help us load all of our belongings to the U-Haul truck. Lily, ‘my cousin’, (we aren’t related, she is just a very close friend who I consider family) was staying with use because she want to see her father, who was also living in Denver. My mom and dad, sister, uncle, cousin, and I all stayed at the house one last night. I remember that my sister said that all her friends gathered around my mom’s car to wave goodbye to her. Her closest friends got very emotional and they started to cry. Not only did the move affect me, it also affected my sister greatly. It was like someone had given her a punch in the stomach. By the next day, we had everything in the U-Haul truck, and it was time for me to leave my precious Vegas behind. We had now started the drive to
When going into high school the same friends you have in freshmen year aren’t the same in senior year. Strong Friendship is always hard to get, I knew who my real friends were after every year in high school ended. By the end of my senior year I had almost all the same friends except for three or four. But there was this one girl who stayed and she been my best friend since then we have had tough time and we have broken up but we always come back to each other. During the break ups I never treated anybody special like I did with her somehow I knew she was going to come back. The theme was always in my life and it showed me that not all my good friends are going to stay but when you have a best friend they’re always going to be
It all started the first week of grade 10. I was walking to math class and i met up with a few of my lunch crew friends. I noticed my friend Ashlea talking to Erin Berring. Erin was an attractive, smart and fashonable girl. I always had a thing for smarties. In school she had straight A's, and was also the leader of the female wrestling team. I felt a little up on myself that day for some reason. I figured there was no better time then the present to chat it up a little. The conversation went quite well, which was different from what I expected. She even asked for my number so we could continue our talk later that night. "Why would she be interested in me?," I said to myself. After all, she seemed way out of my league.
She stands a staggering 5 feet 2 inches tall, weighs a massive 95 pounds, and has short, brown hair and brown eyes. I see my older sister Leslie. Others see a model of perfection. Don't get me wrong, my sister and I are close and have been inseparable since birth. My mother has kept pictures of us ranging from the time we shared a playpen as babies to just recently at Leslie's graduation. For seventeen years, we've shared every life experience imaginable, and we've dealt with the trials and tribulations that come with growing up. But in September, she left home to attend the University of California at Irvine, leaving me to face life alone. However, it gave me the opportunity to live life by myself as Ryan, instead of Leslie's little brother.
I tried to have a normal life. I got into my dream school, Ellsworth University, I rushed a sorority, Kapa Zeta Beta, and like any other sorority sister I participated in going to the frat parties. I joined the sorority with my best friend, Sofia. We were roommates in our freshman year and we became best friends immediately. We were inseparable from working out together to helping each other study for exams. She wasn’t just my best friend; she was my sister from another mister.
In today’s society there are rules that define evidence pertaining to a defendant’s trial. These rules are defined as the “The Rules of Evidence” or “The Law of Evidence.” These rules create a safe and orderly environment, promote efficiency, and enhance the quality of evidence that pertain to all criminal trials. These rules restrict what a jury can and cannot hear or see, details of the law, and the importance of the effective performance of the law enforcement officer. Americans are well aware of the rules that govern evidence; but what are they, what do they mean, how do they apply to each case, and how are they broken down.
Her name was Sky;I had other friends. but usually I have one person that I click with the most. We would sit at that table and talk about the most random things. I liked it here I never even thought that I would move...I was wrong. In the middle of my freshman year...I had to move. I really did not like my moms boyfriend. He just showed up in our life’s about 2 years prior and because of that all of these changes were happening. I started talking to my stepmother about moving in with her and my dad. One night my mom 's boyfriend and I got into an argument. I do not remember what the fight was about because there were so many. I do remember him sitting on top of me screaming at me and pulling my hair and my mom was just standing there not doing anything. Well, he pretty much told me to leave so my stepmother came and picked me up probably at 1 am with no hesitation. I moved into my dad 's house. He lived in Dayton, which is about 30 minutes away. My stepmother was working her hardest to get all the custody papers taken care of. She ran into many problems so when they finally got finished my dad said he was withdrawing me from Franklin. This effected my high school GPA and I will tell you why. I only had to go two more days to take my exams. I did not get to take
I have always seen people with their best friends or someone that has been their friend since they were kids. When I was a kid, my family would move every year, and one year we even moved three times. Since I moved a lot I couldn’t establish long friendships so I would always feel lonely, so I was glad Brownie was there for me. My family stopped moving when I started middle school, I felt happy because I thought I could finally have a friend that lasted longer than a year. I was able to make friends but in the 7th grade I became depressed and I wouldn’t go to school as often as I should have. Only two friends showed concern for me and I told them what was happening. They helped me get better but after a while they stopped talking to me. A couple weeks before 8th grade I started to feel better, but none of my friends wanted to be friends with me anymore because they thought I was weird for being depressed for so long. This made it hard for me to make friends until high school. I made some friends in my freshman and sophomore year of high school. I got depressed again my junior year and the same thing happened as it did in middle school. In my senior year I became friends with this guy named Miguel, we would do things that friends do and we both are going to different colleges so we are keeping in touch. Even though I couldn 't keep a long lasting friendship, I still was influenced by them and I changed a
Throughout most of my life I have gained friendships and relationships with others that have turned into long term, but others which only lasted a short while. The friendship that has greatly impacted my life significantly over the last eight years is someone who means so much to me. This meaningful friendship all started back when I was in middle school, which has grown stronger over the years. I met Brooke in middle school because we had some of the same classes and were in homeroom together. Our friendship developed quickly and lasted throughout our high school years. We became really close our Junior and Senior year of high school. But, maintaining our friendship hasn’t always been so easy. Today, we text and call each other on our free time, but I know I can count and rely on her when I need someone to talk too. I call her my second sister and vice versa. And when we go home on breaks we see one another as much as we can. The best part of our relationship is that if one is in need of advice or in need of a shoulder to cry on, we are always there for one another. Keeping in contact is very important in our relationship and communication has played a key role in our relationship.
I had a different best friend almost every year during my childhood. I met my best friend when I was 3. I moved into a new house and met Crista the first day that I moved in. When she was in fourth grade her family decided to move. During this time, she had been the main person that I hung out with, so this was a huge change fore me. So I spent basically a year and a half with very few friends. I moved to a new school half way through sixth grade. I didn’t ever find a real place there. I met my best friend Stacey when I first moved to my new middle school. We stayed friends throughout middle school, but she had a lot of family problems and she ended dup moving away and I didn’t even know she was leaving until after she was gone. In a time like middle school for something like that happen is awful. I got depressed after that happened and I ...
During my freshman year of college, I had met one of my best friends, who go by name Jill. (She lives in New Jersey and while I live in Pennsylvania) I found it to be strange that sometimes, it feels like we have grown up with one another but in reality we have only one another for four years and I couldn’t be more thankful. I can remember when we met at school as if it was yesterday.
When I was a young girl in elementary school I developed a friendship with a girl that lived a block from me. We began visiting each other’s homes every day. Having sleep overs, riding the bus together and even sitting with each other during lunch. We developed a friendship that couldn’t be broken. It didn’t matter that I was African American and she was Caucasian her whole family made me feel like I was one of their own. While I didn’t know much about anything and didn’t really know what family meant I learn it from her family. She taught me how to line dance and I learn to love his strange music that was peaceful and full of love called country music. It had a way of making your feel happy when you were down. We formed a bond and became best friends she was the only friend I had and I remember when her other friends came to visit I grew kind of jealous because I thought they would take her away from me and I would be all alone again so I became distant. She was such a great friend and for somehow she knew what was bothering me without me even having to say anything so she told me that it shouldn’t worry we will always be friends and it’s okay to have more than one best friend. She was so wise for her age I use to think to myself. As I grew older my mother and siblings and I moved out of town and I lost connection with her but with the increased technology like Facebook we have reconnected. I believe attraction played a major part on us becoming friends. Our friendship started on the school bus on the ride home from school. A couple of bullies started picking on her because of her freckles and fi...