Obama Rational Actor Model

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Given this framework, a legitimate question remains as to whether President Obama’s decision to deploy more troops to Afghanistan met the criteria inherent in the Rational Actor Model. Upon winning the presidential election, President Obama quickly learned how crucial, yet difficult to resolve the war on terror had become. While President Bush had largely ignored Afghanistan and Pakistan to focus on counterinsurgency in Iraq, Al Qaeda and the Taliban had grown unchecked in the volatile border region between Afghanistan and Pakistan as the Pakistani government continued to capitulate to the terrorists’ strength and sign over territorial control to extremist groups. President Obama’s national security advisors thus warned him that terrorist activity in Afghanistan and Pakistan posed an imminent and real threat to the United States and its interests in the Middle East.
President Obama first attempted to address this Afghanistan-Pakistan problem by committing 17,000 troops to safeguard the integrity of Afghanistan’s presidential election. After the election, US troops …show more content…

Now that he had distinctly different options, President Obama needed to pick from amongst the different numbers of troops he could deploy. To do so rationally, the President ultimately needed to pick the option whose consequences ranked highest in his “payoff function,” or the option with consequences best in line with his initial goals (i.e., maximization). Making this rational decision also involved the president’s beliefs, as the uncertainty behind consequences meant that President Obama needed to rely on his beliefs about the world to assign consequences to particular options. So, in going through each option, one can come to understand how President Obama’s final decision to deploy 30,000 troops took the consequences of each option into account and thereby complied with the final set of requirements for

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