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Causes of great recession and its effects
Causes of great recession and its effects
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world felt the effects, with some of them being felt to this day. I will
be focusing more on the effects of the recession, more than the causes. But, the general recession
in America started due to combination of many things; the housing bubble bursting, and the
banks giving out bad loans and causing a credit bubble. (Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, p2) There were other
factors as well, but these were the key ones to creating the great recession.
During this great recession, a lot happened in a very short period of time. The stock
market dropped significantly, the unemployment rate went up significantly as well as millions of
people losing their jobs, and the availability of loans went down (Bernanke p87) ; all of these happened
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for different reasons but were contributing factors to each other.
While the stock market isn’t the
perfect way to see how an economy is doing in every way, you can see the general health of the
it just by looking in some ways. In the span of two years, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
dropped from a high of 14,165 in 2007 to a low of 6,547 in 2009. (Grusky p4) . This lead to
significantly less liquidity in businesses, banks, and also lead to a lot of businesses closing their
doors and laying people off. It is hard to get %100 accurate numbers of the unemployment rate,
but in 2009 the United States had about %17 unemployment rate. (McNally p23) This caused a lot of
these unemployed people to not have the money for food, healthcare, and other social assistance
programs, but sadly a lot of these programs were also being cut at the time . (McNally p23) In the housing
market, some houses which had been bought a few years before hand fell by more than 50% (Grusky
p4) . All of these problems tended to hit the non-white Americans harder than the white ones as
well.
While this was going on the United States government was doing what they could to try
to help the situation. When it came to employment, those who had lost their jobs could file
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for unemployment and get some money to pay their important bills to keep their lives afloat. The government helped stimulate jobs by creating government jobs around the country too and attempting to put some money back into the state governments. Some companies were too big to let go under, so the government decided to “bailout” a few of them, essentially loaning money and/or buying their mortgages and assets to them to help them not go under. (Grusky p60) However, the bailout wasn’t only caused by things that happened in the years leading up to it, some of the main contributing factors could be tracked back to the 1930s when many investment companies started to fail. (Shiller p125) Looking at charts of the Federal Reserve Assets, you can see that right in the middle of 2007 when this all started that they added trillions of dollars to their assets in an attempt to stabilize the economy, and buy other assets to make sure large companies didn’t fail. (Bernake p103) These didn’t happen at purely the same time, as there were jobs created and money started to flow slightly easier they had money to purchase assets. But, even though there were jobs created and assets bought, the unemployment rate was still astonishingly high in May of 2011, at around 13.9 million people being unemployed. (Grusky p3) While unemployment has fallen to %4.9 in July of 2016, and the housing market has started to come back to a much better place than it was 8 years ago when the bubble burst, that doesn’t mean everything is as it was. There are many people who have lost their careers, and are in jobs that a few years ago would be considered to be underpaying them. Even though that is the case, this is far from the worst that could have happened in the long term. Unsurprisingly, the effects of the Financial Crisis were not only felt in the United States, but the entire world.
Across Europe a few of the largest financial businesses failed and others
needed a bailout (Shah, Global Financial Crisis) In Iceland, the entire economy changed from mainly
specializing in fishing and aluminum smelting, to specializing in global finance. In this time,
they were offering their business overseas where they could get larger interest rates, causing the
3 largest banks to balloon into a size 10 times greater than their economy. (O’Brien) Unlike in
America, because those banks grew so large the Iceland government couldn’t afford a bail out.
However, the banks only had protections on their own people’s money, so letting them fail just
meant people internationally losing money. While the government did bail out the banks that it
could for the people of its country, that left the government with so little money that it had no
clue but to get a bailout from the International Monetary Fund. When the IMF did help them, it
also helped put in capital controls to stop the Icelandic economy from falling any further. (O’Brien)
There were also many other parts of Europe which went through financial burden, like
Greece; and other countries like Russia also having problems. While there has been much more than that that has happened and is still happening, those are a few of the key reasons I believe that The Great Recession was the most important thing to happen in the last decade on not only a national level, but also a worldwide level. The effects are still being felt to this day for many people, including those who were a part of making the bad financial decisions of their companies.
The Savings and Loans Crisis of the 1980’s and early 90’s created the greatest banking collapse since the Great Depression in 1929. Over half the S & L’s failed, along with the FSLIC fund that was created to insure their deposits.
It made benchmark interest rate remains low. Then the excess liquidity made the asset bubble. Finally, the burst of asset bubble thumped the financial system. (Pierpaolo,B and Woodford,M, 2003)
The shares values had fallen and this left people panicking. Many businesses closed and several of the banks did not last because of the businesses collapsing. Many people lost their jobs because of this factor. Congress passed Roosevelt’s Emergency Banking Act, which helped reorganize the banks and closed the ones that were insolvent. Then three days later he urged Americans to put their savings back in their banks and by the end of the month basically three quarters of them reopened. Many people refer to the Banking Act as the Glass Steagall Act that ended up prohibiting commercial banks from engaging in the investment business and created the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. The purpose of this was to get rid of the speculations in securities making banking safer than before. The demand for goods were declining, so the value of the money was
started to plummet as the economy has begun this recession. It may seem as if the country that
People started selling their stocks at a fast pace; over sixteen million stocks were sold! Numerous stock prices dropped to fraction of their value. Banks lost money from the stock market and from Americans who couldn't pay back loans. Many factories lost money and went out of business because of
Every few years, countries experience an economic decline which is commonly referred to as a recession. In recent years the U.S. has been faced with overcoming the most devastating global economic hardships since the Great Depression. This period “a period of declining GDP, accompanied by lower real income and higher unemployment” has been referred to as the Great Recession (McConnell, 2012 p.G-30). This paper will cover the issues which led to the recession, discuss the strategies taken by the Government and Federal Reserve to alleviate the crisis, and look at the future outlook of the U.S. economy. By examining the nation’s economic struggles during this time period (2007-2009), it will conclude that the current macroeconomic situation deals with unemployment, which is a direct result of the recession.
Post the era of World War I, of all the countries it was only USA which was in win win situation. Both during and post war times, US economy has seen a boom in their income with massive trade between Europe and Germany. As a result, the 1920’s turned out to be a prosperous decade for Americans and this led to birth of mass investments in stock markets. With increased income after the war, a lot of investors purchased stocks on margins and with US Stock Exchange going manifold from 1921 to 1929, investors earned hefty returns during this time epriod which created a stock market bubble in USA. However, in order to stop increasing prices of Stock, the Federal Reserve raised the interest rate sof loanabel funds which depressed the interest sensitive spending in many industries and as a result a record fall in stocks of these companies were seen and ultimately the stock bubble was finally burst. The fall was so dramatic that stock prices were even below the margins which investors had deposited with their brokers. As a reuslt, not only investor but even the brokerage firms went insolvent. Withing 2 days of 15-16 th October, Dow Jones fell by 33% and the event was referred to Great Crash of 1929. Thus with investors going insolvent, a major shock was seen in American aggregate demand. Consumer Purchase of durable goods and business investment fell sharply after the stock market crash. As a result, businesses experienced stock piling of their inventories and real output fell rapidly in 1929 and throughout 1930 in United States.
What caused the Great Recession that lasted from December 2007 to June 2009 in the United States? The United States a country with abundance of resources from jobs, education, money and power went from one day of economic balance to the next suffering major dimensions crisis. According to the Economic Policy Institute, it all began in 2007 from the credit crisis, which resulted in an 8 trillion dollar housing bubble (n.d.). This said by Economist analysts to attributed to the collapse in the United States. Even today, strong debates continue over major issues caused by the Great Recession in part over the accommodative federal monetary and fiscal policy (Economic Policy Institute, 2013). The Great Recession of 2007 – 2009 enlarges the longest financial crisis since the Great Depression of 1929 – 1932 that damaged the economy.
The victims in the United States were: the largest commercial banks, the whole investment banking industry, the major savings and loans, the largest insurance company, and the two enterprises licensed by the government to smoothen the progress of mortgage lending.
After the recession following the 9/11 attacks, the United States appeared to be enjoying a period of prosperity. Home values were rising and interest rates were radiatively low. Unemployment was below 5 %. However, there were sounds rippling that those were mainly low paying jobs being created during this period. During the late summer of the 2008 presidential election, John McCain declared that the fundamentals of the economy were sound. By the Fall, this proved not to be the case. America was headed for the worst economic period since The Great Depression. This economic downturn ,
The crash in the stock markets led to the fall in the banking sector, which led to loss of confidence. This led to policies which aimed at holding the economy together rather than pushing it forward, this led to the economy being stagnant for a long period of time.
(Murphy, 2008) The US banking sector was first hit with a crisis amongst liquidity and declining world stock markets as well. The subprime mortgage crisis was characterized by a decrease within the housing market due to excessive individuals and corporate debt along with risky lending and borrowing practices. Over time, the market apparently began displaying more weaknesses as the global financial system was being affected. With this being said, this brings into question who is actually to blame for this financial fiasco.
All good things must come to and end. In late 2005, the housing bubble burst, and housing began to decline in price. People who refinanced, particularly those who financed with variable interest rates suddenly found their homes were valued at much less. The housing market became flooded with homes for sale, because the homeowners with variable rates and interest only loans could not continue to make their payments. (Greenspan) The rise in the number of homes for sale caused further lowering of home values.
Stephen T. Evans (2015) wrote a scholarly article “An evaluation of the unemployment rates of the United States”, which he essentially criticized the government about the unemployment rates and their ignorance to the middle class. In Evans (2015) article, he began by stating the current unemployment rate which was 6.1% in 2014. Evans (2015) wrote, “This rate peaked at 10% in October 2010 and has steadily declined to 6.1% as disclosed on July 3, 2014”(p.157). Then he described how the unemployment rate doesn’t measure discouraged workers, marginally attached, and workers seeking part-time. Evans (2015) stated that 288,000 part-time jobs were added, one the other side 523,000 full-time jobs were lost. He also added a fact that 2.4 million Americans
Due to the stock market crash some banks were forced to close their doors without warning and without letting people withdraw their money. When the doors closed the money people had deposited was lost resulting in the loss of trust the public had with banks so they were no longer depositing money which meant that the banks did not have much money to lend out or invest. This resulted in the closure of even more banks because they did not have any more funds. The public not only stopped storing their money in banks but also stopped spending and started saving their money instead because they were unsure of the future that lied ahead of them. They stopped buying manufactured products which resulted in the loss of profits from those companies and eventually forced them to stop production and close down and many workers lost their jobs increasing the unemployment rate. This was the beginning of a cycle where less public spending meant less company revenue, which also resulted in the loss of jobs for the current employees of those companies resulting in a high rate of unemployment, and without steady jobs spending was then again affected because of lower family