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Positive effect of less unemployment
Effect of unemployment
Effect of unemployment
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Economics 2.4 Internal
Frannie Aquino
A recession is a period of temporary economic decline during which trade and industrial activity are reduced. In 2008-2009, New Zealand was in recession. This can be seen with the Department of Labor figures, where the percentage change in GDP was at
-1.25%, which means that output was falling. When in recession, unemployment increases because household incomes, business profits and GDP decrease, so unemployment is increased because of the global recession. Since household income decreases, their spending decreases, which means firms will earn less profit. Budget cuts will then need to be made so people are made redundant as less workers are needed to produce less. Making people redundant is a big way of cutting costs, so unemployment increases because people lose their jobs. This worsens the recession, as household spending will decrease even more because of people being made redundant, so firms will be receiving less
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profit and will have to get rid of more employees, and unemployment will increase even more. This can be seen on the business cycle with a drop, because real GDP is going down as output decreases, so unemployment increases. On the labor market graph, a decrease in demand is shown with a shift to the left from D to D1, since the demand for workers decreases because businesses are receiving less. Cyclical unemployment relates to the business cycle and the trends in growth and production that occur within it. Structural unemployment is due to an excess in quantity of labor supplied over quantity of labor demanded. People’s skills no longer match the demand. This is also known as technological unemployment, which is when people are unemployed due to technology. Frictional unemployment results from temporary transitioning between jobs, careers or location. Therefore, unemployment that results from recession is cyclical unemployment because when the business cycle is low, GDP decreases as there is less that is being produced, which means unemployment increases. GDP, which stands for Gross Domestic Product, is the monetary value of the goods and services that were produced within the country. When GDP decreases, unemployment figures will be high, because unemployment due to the recession means what is being produced is decreased, therefore GDP will decrease. In 2008-2009, New Zealand’s real GDP decreased by 1.8%, which means unemployment rates increased. This is because the higher the GDP is, the lower the unemployment rate, but when GDP is low, the unemployment increases. Households are significantly affected by the increase in unemployment.
The demand for workers is decreasing because fewer workers are needed to produce less which decreases the amount of available jobs. Since less is going to be produced, employees make budget cuts and let off the workers who are no longer needed. This worsens the economy because as household income decreases, they won’t have as much money to spend so household spending decreases resulting in firms receiving less. They will no longer be able to afford luxury goods so will only buy the necessities. Government benefit increases as they help people without enough money to survive The decrease in demand for workers can be seen on the labor market graph with a shift of demand to the left from D to D1, because businesses are receiving less so will be producing less and will no longer need as many workers, so demand for workers decreases. Voluntary unemployment also increases because people are not willing to work at the lower equilibrium wage
rate. Firms are also greatly affected by this with a decrease in their revenue. A decrease in Households’ disposable income will mean they won’t be spending as much, so firms will not receive as much revenue as they used to. Cuts will then be made to costs of production and they will lessen the amount being produced because it is not being consumed so will not be profitable. This may cause some firms to go under, which will only increase unemployment even more and worsen recession. With less being produced, the firm’s spare capacity will increase. A decrease in the demand of workers is shown on the labor market graph with a shift to the left from D to D1 because the business is receiving less revenue so will produce less and will need fewer people for production. Voluntary unemployment then increases. The Production Possibility Frontier (PPF) is a curve that shows the maximum output possibilities of two or more goods given fixed resources. Because of the recession, households do not have as much disposable income, so the demand for goods have decreased. The PPF shows unemployment at Point C which represents labor that is not being used efficiently. Firms are producing at Point C because that is what meets the quantity demanded, but this is below the possibility that could be produced. This shows that Labor is a resource that is being underutilised. Points A and B represent the points at which production for the goods is most efficient, and if we were producing at those points there would be no unemployment as resources, ie Labor, is being utilised efficiently. Derived demand is the demand for a good or service that results from the demand for another. Demand for labor is derived from the demand of a good or service. During recession or heavy unemployment, the demand for hospitality goods will decrease as eating out is a luxury that people cannot afford when their income has decreased. So demand for hospitality workers will decrease as not as many of them will be needed because less is needed to be produced. This will cause the demand curve to shift to the left from D to D1 on the labor market, because they will need fewer workers at each and every price. Voluntary unemployment is increased. On the other hand, the demand for education workers will remain fairly constant as education is a necessity so will hardly be affected. If anything, an increase in the demand for education might occur as some of the people who were let off might want to study or retrain, so the demand for workers will increase causing the demand curve to shift to the right from D to D1 as more education workers are demanded at each and every price.
By definition, an economic depression is a “sustained, long-term downturn in economic activity in one or more economies.” (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_depression) The latter, is far worse then a recession. A recession is merely an economic slowdown, which was experienced by most Atlantic Provinces in the late 19th century.
First, I will discuss the time period between 1973-1974. Because the unemployment and inflation rates are higher than normal, we can assume that the aggregate-demand curve is downward-sloping. When the aggregate-demand curve is downward-sloping, we know that the economy’s demand has slowed down. When the economy’s demand has slowed down, businesses have to choice but to raise prices and lay off workers in order to preserve profits. When employers throughout the country respond to their decrease in demand the same way, unemployment increases.
As an illustration, Michael Grabell speaks about signs of recession in March 2009; and how the recession consumed many states across the United States in the fall of 2008. Employment rates were decreasing, Unemployment rates were off the charts and there were many house foreclosures. Furthermore, in Krugman’s Economics for AP* it goes more into depth about the signs of recessions and house foreclosures which can be seen in Module 2. Here, it talks about the many signs of recessions-- inflation, deflation and labor force, which is the total amount of people that are employed and unemployed. In addition to, which they are vigorously looking for work but are not currently employed. Moreover, a few modules ahead Krugman’s textbook also talks about what some individuals did to survive the recession. For instance, Home foreclosures caused tax revenues to plummet. Not to mention, how at the same time more people sought Medicaid and food stamps to survive the recession.
The July 1990- march 1991 recession lasted eight months and was caused by many different adverse financial problems on the environment in the early 90’s. Most post was recessions are short as this one was. They tended to last only up to eleven months at a time. On October of 1987 Black Monday occurred which caused the stock market to crash. The Persian war joined with the rising infiltration rates created this recession. When the recession began the Fed began to try to reduce infiltration, which then limited economic expansion.(Kevin Mulligan Recessions) Extreme changes in the GDP growth began to emerge at the beginning of 1990’s, however the overall growth seemed to remain positive. As a result of this recession a loss of consumer and business confidence was lost due to rising of oil prices along with an already weak economy.
...roportionally higher taxes and come of welfare benefits, moderating the disposable income. As incomes fall in a recession the impact the falling incomes have for income earners is softened as high income earners pay less tax proportionally, and retain more post-tax income, while the low income earners receive benefits, thus injecting into the economy and moderating a downturn in the economy, this is fiscal boost.
Every few years, countries experience an economic decline which is commonly referred to as a recession. In recent years the U.S. has been faced with overcoming the most devastating global economic hardships since the Great Depression. This period “a period of declining GDP, accompanied by lower real income and higher unemployment” has been referred to as the Great Recession (McConnell, 2012 p.G-30). This paper will cover the issues which led to the recession, discuss the strategies taken by the Government and Federal Reserve to alleviate the crisis, and look at the future outlook of the U.S. economy. By examining the nation’s economic struggles during this time period (2007-2009), it will conclude that the current macroeconomic situation deals with unemployment, which is a direct result of the recession.
Looking back to the Carter and Reagan Administration’s, you can begin to see where the Recession originated from. Prior to the Reagan administration, the United States economy experienced a decade of rising unemployment and inflation. Political pressure favored stimulus resulting in an expansion of the money supply. Reagan wanted to increase defense spending while lowering taxes, Reagan's approach was a departure from his immediate predecessors. Reagan enacted lower marginal tax rates in combination with simplified income tax codes and continued deregulation. During Reagan's presidency the annual deficits averaged 4.2% of GDP after inheriting an annual deficit of 2.7% of GDP in 1980 under President Carter. The real
The enforcement of Keynesian policies, involving increased government spending, was essential in driving economic recovery in numerous countries during the Great Depression. In simple terms “The Keynesian model states that government spending adds to total demand, which adds more to production and more workers being hired.” This summarizes the concept of the policies during the time of a recession when the demand for goods isn’t as high, leading to mass unemployment. The effect of government spending is highlighted in this quote since an increase in spending can boost the demand for products, ultimately leading to an increase in employment rates. The relationship between government spending, the demand for products, and employment is a significant factor in how decisions are made and the stability of the government.
An assumption that economists make is that individuals try to benefit their lives as much as possible. Basically they invest in things that don’t necessarily make them happy, but will benefit them in the long run, or just things that give utility. Another assumption is that firms always try to make the most money they can. The joke about why the entrepreneur crossing the road is perfect. The example he gives to prove that maximizing utility doesn’t go hand in hand with selfishness is about a women who died in her nineties who lived her life as a laundress lived in a small apartment with little in her apartment such as a black and white television. She wasn’t poor and even gave away $150,000. Her utility she gained was from saving her money than spending it on lavish things. This goes to show that everyone gets utility from their lives in different ways. Maximizing utility is just a way to live life comfortably. Many things hold utility, even those that are
In economics, a recession occurs when there is a slowdown in the spending of goods and services in the market. A recession causes a drop in employment, GDP growth, investment, as well as societal well-being. All recessions are caused by a specific cause, but the Great Recession of 2007-2009 was caused by a crash in the housing market. This crash was triggered by a steep decline in housing prices. All of a sudden, people bought houses because there was an excessive amount of money in the economy and they thought the price of houses would only increase. (Amadeo, 2012). There was a financial frenzy as the growing desire for homes expanded. People held a lot of faith in the economy and began spending irrationally on houses that they couldn’t afford. This led to overvalued estate and unsustainable mortgage debt. (McConnell, Brue, Flynn, 2012).
There is a close relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the unemployment rate as it will relate to the decrease or increase of inflation rate. The inflation rate will increase when GDP and unemployment decreases, because it will affect the purchasing power of the people of a particular country.
So is the United States in a recession? The answer is no it isn’t. The US has had a period of sluggish growth, but still it has been positive. The economy will have to grow at a negative rate over the next two quarters in order for the US to be in a recession. But is there cause for concern that a recession may occur? Yes there is, but the government’s interventions should keep the US from falling victim to recession. I believe that the economy will eventually pick itself back up and avoid a recession. The GDP will once again grow at a quick pace.
The largest cause of unemployment can be attributed to recession. The term recession refers to the backward movement of the economy for a long period. People spend only when they have to. (Nagle 2009). With people spending less there would be less money in circulation therefore, enterprises would suffer financially and people would suffer too. This is so because recession reduces the fiscal bases of enterprises, forcing these enterprises to reduce their workforce through layoffs. These enterprises lay off their workers in order to cut the costs they incur in terms of wage and salary payments.
Increasing taxes will definitely drive the economy down and drive the unemployment rate up, because several businesses will be forced to close as they are taxed at a higher rate, losing tax advantages and incentives limiting their ability to keep their employees, maintaining the production and covering their expenses. With that said, the major transfer payments the Federal government makes (Social Security, veteran benefits, Medicare…), that involves payment schedule reduction, will definitely be affected in the event the government chose to adopt a budget cut strategy minimizing the recipients’ ability to spend more mainly because they are not making enough. (The Heritage Foundation, 2015) ultimately reducing inflationary pressures (Andolfatto,
Lower GDP for the economy also one of the consequences of unemployment in current time. High rate of this issue implies the economy is operating below full capacity and inefficient so that it will lead to lower output and incomes. Because people who are searching for their work usually will spend less in purchasing goods and