A comparison between stage structured models and size structured models using Himalayan tahrs and loggerhead turtles.

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Introduction Environmental factors influence population growth and these factors include food availability and space to live and reproduce in (Begon et al. 2006, Caswell 1996). These all need to be accounted for when creating a population model, as they influence the amount of individuals that are present (Caswell 1996). A stage model is useful as it groups individuals into their different life history stages e.g. juveniles, yearlings and adults animals or growth stages for plants (Leslie 1948). Size structured models take into account that not all individuals proceed to the next age group, i.e. they have an indeterminate growth, and therefore allows for the possibility that some of the individuals may remain in the same age group for more than one consecutive year (Gotelli & Gillman 1996). The objective of this study was to compare the different results achieved when using stage structured and size structured models. Which model is most accurate at depicting a population’s growth? How is each model affected by the parameters that are entered into them? Methods Collecting skulls of Himalayan tahrs and sorting them according to year class obtained the data used for the stage-structured model. A total number of 159 skulls were collected and sorted into 9 age classes. A life table was then constructed to estimate the mortality (qx) and survival (px) rates for each year class. This data was then used to create an expanded Vensim model that was later simplified into 3 different year classes: juveniles, yearlings and adults. This was done by adding all individuals from age 2 and up together and then estimating the aggregate survival for animals over 2 years of age where: qx= number of skulls/ summed adult population And px= 1- qx (mor... ... middle of paper ... ...e parameterizations for size-and stage-structured models. Ecological Modelling,88(1), 73-82. Crowder, L.B., Crouse, D.T., Heppel,S.S., &Martin, T.H. 1994. Predicting the impact of turtle excluder devices on loggerhead sea-turtle populations. Ecolocical Applications (4), 437-445 Gotelli, N. J., & Gillman, M.1996. A Primer of Ecology. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 11(6), 265. Metapopulation Dynamics A Model of Metapopulation Dynamics pp 84 Leslie, P.H. 1948. Some further notes on the use of matrices in population mathematics. Biometrika, 35(3–4), 213–245. Paulo, O. S., Dias, C., Bruford, M. W., Jordan, W. C., & Nichols, R. A. 2001. The persistence of Pliocene populations through the Pleistocene climatic cycles: evidence from the phylogeography of an Iberian lizard. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences, 268(1476), 1625-1630.

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