Introduction A student received his offer letter for the admission into GMBA course, he was working in Australia, so did quick calculation and came up with an amount that he was required to transfer in USD (US dollars) for admission fees. After two months, when he went to the branch of National Australian Bank to transfer the money to Citibank Dubai, he was surprised to know that he need pay around 35% more than his initial estimate ,due to increase in USD to AUD(Australian Dollars) conversion rate. At the same time, he was told in his office that going forward there will be not any office parties due to cost cutting. After being landed, he came to know that there is large scale layoffs’ going on the industry, so he needs to be extremely cautious about his future job prospects. To make the things worst, he came to know that shares of company named Suzlon that he bought had a free fall and now trading at 10% of their peak value. After two months, when he got the topic for the Macro Economics, he realised that reason for all his losses and worries is same as his topic of assignment that is “Uncertainty in Global Economy”. Reason for Uncertainty {draw:g} Flattening of the world has made this depression a global phenomenon. The core of this crisis is the defaulting of the payment by the subprime borrowers. Subprime borrowers are those borrowers, who are not credit worthy and cannot be provided debt in the normal scenario due bad credit ratings. In 1990s, financial institutions have came up with the new financial instruments to provide credit to wide range of borrowers despite of their bad credit history. The main motivations behind these financial instruments are:- a) Greed to earn more and more profit. b) Push from Federal Reserve’s to make USA a spending economy rather than saving economy. All the banking transactions are governed by simple rule “Higher the risk, higher the return”, so bank used to charge higher interest rate from the subprime customers than prime customers Insufficient regulations and failure of existing regulations like Basel 2. Lack of transparency of auditing firms and credit rating agencies. Lack of integrated global risk management practises.
Just as the great depression, a booming economy had been experienced before the global financial crisis. The economy was growing at a faster rtae bwteen 2001 and 2007 than in any other period in the last 30 years (wade 2008 p23). An vast amount of subprime mortgages were the backbone to the financial collapse, among several other underlying issues. As with the great depression, there would be a number of factors that caused such a devastating economic
The Poole Model is a macroeconomic model where its main objective is to answer the discussion on whether monetary policy should be conducted using a money-supply rule or an interest-rate rule when managing the economy. In the Poole Model, the Central Bank’s objective is to minimize the loss function:
Shahrokhi, M. (2011). The global financial crises of 2007-2010 and the future of capitalism. Global Finance Journal, 22, 193-210. doi: 10.1016/j.gfj.2011.10.010.
Macroeconomic Forecasting Abstract Annual data was gathered on the United States' Gross Domestic Product and the economic indicators of unemployment, employment growth, inflation, and interest rates. Using 2004 as the base year, forecasts for the next two years were taken from three different forecasting organizations and compared to historical figures. Differences in projected data were addressed, as well as relationships between forecasts and among the targeted indicators. The results of the economic forecasts were applied to current Motorola operations and plans.
A theme that dominates modern discussions of macro policy is the importance of expectations, and economists have devoted a great deal of thought to expectations and the economy. Change in expectations can shift the aggregate demand (AD) curve; expectations of inflation can cause inflation. For this reason expectations are central to all policy discussions, and what people believe policy will be significantly influences the effectiveness of the policy.
In 1929, there was a huge event that happened in America, which called the great recession. As we know, the great recession causes a lot of negative effects not only on the American economy, but also on the world. Nowadays, although most of the economists do hardly predict recessions in the US, the past record still provides America with a little comfort. A new research indicates that the next giant recession would come soon. According to the online article the America’s vulnerable economy by printed edition, several effects have involved in accounting for this coming recession. Those effects are in terms of housing bubbles, debt bubbles and lower customer purchasing power.
Cabral, R. (2013). A perspective on the symptoms and causes of the financial crisis. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37, 103-117
The "subprime crises" was one of the most significant financial events since the Great Depression and definitely left a mark upon the country as we remain upon a steady path towards recovering fully. The financial crisis of 2008, became a defining moment within the infrastructure of the US financial system and its need for restructuring. One of the main moments that alerted the global economy of our declining state was the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers on Sunday, September 14, 2008 and after this the economy began spreading as companies and individuals were struggling to find a way around this crisis. (Murphy, 2008) The US banking sector was first hit with a crisis amongst liquidity and declining world stock markets as well. The subprime mortgage crisis was characterized by a decrease within the housing market due to excessive individuals and corporate debt along with risky lending and borrowing practices. Over time, the market apparently began displaying more weaknesses as the global financial system was being affected. With this being said, this brings into question about who is actually to assume blame for this financial fiasco. It is extremely hard to just assign blame to one individual party as there were many different factors at work here. This paper will analyze how the stakeholders created a financial disaster and did nothing to prevent it as the credit rating agencies created an amount of turmoil due to their unethical decisions and costly mistakes.
If financial markets are instable, it will lead to sharp contraction of economic activity. For example, in this most recent financial crisis, a deterioration in financial institutions’ balance sheets, along with asset price decline and interest rate hikes increased market uncertainty thus, worsening what is called ‘adverse selection and moral hazard’. This is a serious dilemma created before business transactions occur which information is misleading and promotes doing business with the ‘most undesirable’ clients by a financial institution. In turn, these ‘most undesirable’ clients later engage in undesirable behavior. All of this leads to a decline in economic activity, more adverse selection and moral hazards, a banking crisis and further declining in economic activity. Ultimately, the banking crisis came and unanticipated price level increases and even further declines in economic activity.
This paper provides an overview of the crisis, outlines the major causes of the crisis, examine alternative solutions to the problem
Money supply is the availability of money in the hands of the public (economy) that can be used to purchase goods, services and securities. In macroeconomics, the price of money is equivalent to the rate of interest. There's an inverse relationship between money supply and interest rates. As money supply increases, interest will decrease. On the other hand, interest will increases as money supply decreases. It is very important to understand that the economy works at market equilibrium. There are several factors affecting money supply; and these contributing factors will be the main focus of this paper. Understanding the basic principle on money supply is imperative to have a good grasp on the macroeconomic impact of money supply on business operations.
The recent Global Financial Crisis (GFC) initially began with the collapse of credits and financial markets, which caused by the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US in 2007. The sub-prime mortgages were given to high-risk lenders (with bad credit history) who were in danger of defaulting, which eventually caused a global credit crunch, where the banks were unwilling to lend to each other. In October 2008, the collapse of the major financial institutions and the crash of stock markets marked the peak of this global economic slowdown (Euromonitor International, 2008).
It is the role of every government to safeguard its people in all matters including controlling the economy. Every economy faces different challenges including the business cycles that may emanate from the global market. In this paper we try to examine measures taken by the UK’s coalition government in trying to ensure that the economy benefits every citizen and reduces the overall burden to it. We consider the recent comprehensive review on spending.
In conclusion, we feel that the recommendation we have suggested in this report is a suitable foundation to build a sustainable and prudent financial system in this country. This will facilitate the financial industry both, withdraw out of this crisis and in the future avoid as much as possible inducing the scale of matters at present. As the report suggest, everyone contributed in their own miniscule way to this crisis, we feel that it’s up to every one of us to contribute to the overall recovery of this financial crises and recovery of the nation in general.
Several financial statements have been prepared to describe the causes of this current financial failure. There are a variety of factors that has resulted in the explosion of this financial crisis. Downfall of the US housing market; highly benefited financial dealings and a low interest-rate promoting borrowings, have all contributed to the recession monetary market. Let us now consider these various reasons in a little detail.