The Federal Funds Rate is the interest rate that Federal Reserve uses to trade funds with banks. Changes in this rate can trigger a chain of events that can be beneficial or devastating to the economy. If a bank is charged a higher interest rate to trade money or take out a loan, then the increase will be passed on to their customers, causing them to pay higher transaction fees or more interest. Each month, the Federal Open Market Committee meets to determine the federal funds rate. This in turn affects other short term interest rates. The determining rate immediately impacts the rates at which banks borrow money and the interest rates the banks use to charge their customers on loans. If the rate raise is too high, then money flow drops dramatically and banks and customers curtail lending and borrowing, waiting until a better rate is reached. This effect can have a dramatic impact on the economy and economic spending.
Long term interest rates differ from short term interest rates in that they are not directly influenced by the Federal Funds target rate. Usually investors will want a higher interest rate for a long term investment. A higher Federal rate will trickle down to consumers, resulting in a higher interest rate to borrow money. Consumers will then reduce spending, slowing down the economy. This was seen in the housing market when adjustable mortgage rates went up. People could not afford their payments any longer and their homes went into foreclosure. This drove home values down, which lowered homeowners’ equity against which they could borrow, causing panic and a dramatic decrease in spending.
Unemployment can also be directly affected by the Federal Reserve. If the Federal rate goes up, there will be less spending which ...
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...ll have some immediate consequences on the economy, but I believe that these will even out in the short term as our country begins to get back on its feet. A budget that reduces spending will enable us to begin to pay back some of our national debt, which will increase the value of our currency in the world markets. This will in turn give more buying power for our dollar, reducing inflation, and increasing the likelihood of more investing. As you can see, everything starts at the top. If the federal government will straighten themselves out, the rest of the country will follow along.
References: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/definition/liquidity-trap http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/2013/09/the-new-keynesian-liquidity-trap.html http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomc.htm http://www.marxists.org/reference/subject/economics/keynes/general-theory/
When interest rates on loans are high, this leaves people with less disposable income resulting in less consumer spending. Depending on where the economy stands, this can be good or bad, as it would lead toward recession. But that may be exactly what is intended in order to decrease spending if the economy is currently experiencing over-inflation. The government may intentionally send the market into a recession rather than potentially risking too high levels of inflation. On the other hand, if the economy were already in recession this would only make the recession worse. In the situation where the economy is currently in recession, the government is instead going to change the overnight rate in order to therefore lower interest rates on loans in order to provoke consumer
First, I will discuss the time period between 1973-1974. Because the unemployment and inflation rates are higher than normal, we can assume that the aggregate-demand curve is downward-sloping. When the aggregate-demand curve is downward-sloping, we know that the economy’s demand has slowed down. When the economy’s demand has slowed down, businesses have to choice but to raise prices and lay off workers in order to preserve profits. When employers throughout the country respond to their decrease in demand the same way, unemployment increases.
The dollar will be worth less and less if the nation is in high debt. People will also be affected, when you have less money you spend and buy less due to increased prices, which can cause problems in the economy such as a recession or worse a depression. Budget deficit calls for the government to let costs exceed national income and use monetary policy to jump start the economy. The government must be careful when choosing the best way to build the economy. If the policies fail, they can lead the nation into many problems, as stated above.
The Federal Reserve controls the economy of the United States through a variety of tools. They use these tools to shape the monetary policy of the United States in order to promote economic growth and reduce the rate of inflation and the unemployment rate. By adjusting these tools, the Fed is able to control the amount of money in the supply. By controlling the amount of money, the Fed can affect the macro-economic indicators and steer the economy away from runaway inflation or a recession.
In conclusion, the current macroeconomic situation in the United States is characterized by moderate growth because of better economic conditions that were brought by the events of 2013. The country has experienced moderate economic growth since the 2008 global recession but has shown real signs of momentum. While the country is not concerned about recession or inflation, the rate of unemployment is still a major challenge despite improved consumer and business confidence. As a result, the Federal Open Market Committee or Federal Reserve System needs to adopt fiscal and monetary policy initiatives that help address the unemployment issue and promote high economic growth.
Over the past few years we have realized the impact that the Federal Government has on our economy, yet we never knew enough about the subject to understand why. While taking this Economics course it has brought so many things to our attention, especially since we see inflation, gas prices, unemployment and interest rates on the rise. It has given us a better understanding of the effect of the Government on the economy, the stock market, the interest rates, etc. Since the Federal Government has such control over our economy, we decided to tackle the subject of the Federal Reserve System and try to get a better understanding of the history, the structure, and the monetary policy of the power that it holds. The Federal Reserve System is the central banking authority of the United States.
However, in the long-term there is a huge risk of deficit spending hindering economic growth. Economics is a balancing act, I think that if deficit spending is applied in specific areas that are of the greatest need for a very limited period then it is beneficial. I think currently the best reason to increase deficit spending it would be in infrastructure. We hear all the time that our bridges are crumbling, and are far past their life expectancy. We also could use some significant upgrades to our power grid, as well as our internet networks, although those are both controlled solely by private firms. I think in the long-term there needs to be some control to how much deficit is
By definition, the federal funds rate is the interest rate at which private depository institution (mostly banks) lend balances (federal funds) at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions, usually overnight. Changing the target rate is one form of open market operations that the Chairman of the Federal Reserve uses to regulate the supply of money in the United States in the U.S economy. Short-term interest rates were relatively stable during the first half of the funds’ fiscal year. Toward the middle of the second half, however, short-term rates started to move down a little bit when concerns about the strength of the housing and credit market and the current economy led the Federal Reserve to reduce short-term rates. The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (0.25%) and pumped $41 billion of short-term reserves into the markets. On the daily basis, most businesses operate regardless of the Federal rate and completely independent of it. Coca-cola sells Coke by the truckload regardless of the trickle-down effect of the Federal Funds Rare. In addition, it generated gobs of excess cash that allowed it to service virtually and interest rate the banks threw at it. The Coca-cola company reports that the earnings per share of $1.77 for the year, versus $1.23 in the prior year. In addition, cash from operations has increased 15% to 5.5 billion. In addition, the fourth quarter earnings per share of $0.38 and the worldwide unit case volume growth of 3% in the fourth quarter and 4% for the full year. Opinions on if the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the future abound, with conventional wisdom siding with a rate increase. However, the decision probably will not affect what happens to stock prices as much as it would with news of corporate earnings surprises. With the benchmark lending rate at 1.5%, rates are still quite low – past economic recoveries have seen rates at 3% or higher at this stage.
The United States economy is racing ahead at dangerous speeds, and it may be too late to prevent the return of widespread inflation. Ideally the economy should move ahead gradually and grow at a steady manageable rate. Mae West once stated “Too much of a good thing can be wonderful” and it seems the U.S. Treasury Secretary agrees. The Secretary announced that due to our increasing surplus and booming economy, instead of having an outsized tax cut, we should use the surplus to further pay down the national debt. A tax cut, though most Americans would favor it initially, would prove counter productive. Cutting taxes would over stimulate an already raging economy, and enhance the possibilities of an increase in the rate of inflation. Paying off the national debt would actually help lower interest rates and boost investments, and therefore further increase the wealth of the population, while keeping inflation at bay.
In the study of macroeconomics there are several sub factors that affect the economy either favorably or adversely. One dynamic of macroeconomics is monetary policy. Monetary policy consists of deliberate changes in the money supply to influence interest rates and thus the level of spending in the economy. “The goal of a monetary policy is to achieve and maintain price level stability, full employment and economic growth.” (McConnell & Brue, 2004).
The reduction of government role in the economy will affect fiscal policy by decreasing deficit spending a...
The Fed desires to maintain high employment because the condition of high unemployment, the alternative, creates idle workers and idle resources. This leads to closed factories, unused equipment and materials, ultimately decreasing our GDP. Now, let me further explain that the goal for high unemployment is not an unemployment level of zero, rather a level above zero where labor demand equals labor supply. This is known as the ‘natural rate of unemployment’.
In time of economic crisis the government has a choice to cut spending or increase spending for public goods and services. “In 2009, Congress passed the American Recovery and Rein- vestment Act, which authorized $787 billion in spending to promote job growth and bolster economic activity”(Stratmann/Okolski 3). John Maynard Keynes, an economist of 20th century, suggest that the government should run a deficit if it will create jobs and increase capital gain. This theory support the current stimulus package that has been introduce during President Obama’s term. Although the flaw with this concept is that it makes the assumption the government has done studies and understands which areas needs the funding the most and knows where it will be beneficial, realistically that is not true. “Federal spending is less likely to stimulate growth when it cannot accurately target the projects where it will be most productive” (Stratmann/Okolski 2). This can be seen because political figures will spend money where it directly supports their needs as well. For instance, the political figure would rather spend money to things that will yield a p...
There are several factors affecting the money supply: spread between the discount rate and federal funds rate, required reserve ratio and open market operations. It is very important to understand that whenever the "DR charged by Fed is lower than the FFR charge by other banks; banks tend to borrow from the Fed.
Interest rates and the effects of interest rates on the economy concern not only macroeconomists but consumers, savers, borrowers, and lenders. A country may react and change their interest rates, according to the prosperity of their economy. Interest rates, is the percentage usually on an annual basis that is paid by the borrower to the lender for a loan of money (Merriam-Webster). If banks decided not to use interest rates, it would be impossible for others to be able to take out loans and therefore, there would be far less spending money in the economy. With interest rates, this allows banks to take a percentage of the consumer’s money and loan it out to others, thus allowing economic growth to be possible. Interest rates also allow lenders to have a “safety net” which is necessary because there is a possibility that the borrower would be unable to pay back a loan to the bank. A nation’s interest rates can be raised or lowered and these shifts in interest rates correlate directly to aggregate demand. Aggregate demand, is the total demand for final goods and services in an economy at a given time (Business Dictionary). A nation uses interest rates for economic growth or to help prevent inflation. When economic growth is needed a nation would lower their interest rates. However, if a country is concerned about inflation, they may choose to raise their interest rates. When interest rates, raised or lowered, will have a negative or positive impact on consumers, and have a positive or negative impact on investors.