Investment Risk in Italy

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Investment Risk
Italy has one of the largest economies in Europe and one of the ten largest in the world. This has not however prevented the continued deflation Italy is experiencing. Italy has performed very poorly with an approximately 7% decline in growth over the last five years. Italy has a huge state debt for which it needs to develop growth so that it can prevent further debt and begin to reduce the debt which is currently 130% of its’ gross domestic product($2.014 trillion:2012). With the government's nearly $1.1 trillion budget Italy began paying $52 billion it owes to private companies. The Italian government has also begun using funds to guarantee bank loans to small- and medium-size companies. These along with their selling of BTP Italias totaling almost $90.42 billion, have helped Italian bonds gain approximately 5.1 percent this year and Italy on its’ way out of a two year recession (Armstrong, 2013).
This high demand of BTP Italias will allow the Rome based Treasury to slow the supply of its’ medium and long term bonds. This will also lower the governments’ cost of borrowing according to Chiara Cremonesi, a fixed-income strategist at UniCredit in Milan. One issue however is that in 2017 the latest bonds issued, these medium and long-term bonds which are valued at approximately 20% of GDP, will mature. The design and hope of these BTP Italias is the draw of the country’s own households which could be a new and possibly more stable buyer. With bank lending across Italian households and non-financial firms shrinking steadily for more than a year this is one positive sign for Italian governments (Emsden, 2013).
According to Fabrizio Saccomanni, Italy’s Economy Minister and former deputy governor of the Bank of Italy, ...

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Frye, A. (2013, November 12). Italy Seeks to Ease REIT Rules to Attract $1.3 Billion a Year. Retrieved November 13, 2013, from Bloomberg Online: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-13/italy-seeks-to-ease-reit-rules-to-attract-1-3-billion-a-year.html
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The World Bank and the International Finance Corporation. (2013). Doing Business 2014, Economy Profile: Italy. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.

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