Predictions In Criminal Justice Essay

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Predictions are used in many aspects of life. For instance, weathermen predict the forecast. Sporting experts try to predict the outcome of sports events. Doctors try to predict the survival time for the terminally ill. The criminal justice system uses this concept as well. In each stage of the criminal justice system discretionary decisions are made. Criminal justice actors make these decisions by involving predictions about the future behavior of the individual (Lecture Notes, Module 4, Topic A). Judges use predictions to determine the bail, probation and sentencing of a defendant. The methods used to predict criminal behavior are: actuarial approach, prior history and clinical evaluation. An actuarial approach calculates the patterns of …show more content…

Though this is the case not everyone agrees it is the best solution in determining policy and outcomes of offenders. Opponents of prediction use in the criminal justice system are concerned about the methods utilized to make the predictions. Also, some have made ethical arguments against the use. Basically, opponents argue that errors are inevitable. Essentially, if a false positive occurs this can impair an individual’s freedom. For instance, if a judge determines an offender is likely to inflict future offenses based on false predictions and sentences this person to incarceration versus probation. On the other hand, if a judge determines an offender is not a public safety concern to society and actually is, this is a false negative. An example would be a sex offender released into society who then ultimately reoffends. (Lecture Notes, Module 4, Topic A) Opponents feel that using predictions in criminal justice are trusting experts too …show more content…

Police Departments and officers use prediction. Based on these predictions, department officials will determine where to allocate officers or make additional assignments. This saves precious resources and time. It has already been discussed that judges use predictions to determine an offender’s future. Whether it will be probation or incarceration. It is also used to determine length of probation and incarceration. Prediction will help determine the level of supervision one will endure while on probation. From low-risk offenders to high-risk, prediction determines

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