Climate And Change: The Impacts Of Climate Change In Botswana

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It is undisputable that climate variability and change are global phenomena, which have become a big challenge to humankind and how they relate to their immediate environment (IPCC, 2013). Climate change is the change in average weather conditions over a long period of time, whereas climate variability is the annual climate fluctuations above or below a long term average value. Though climate change is a relatively new phenomenon exacerbated by human influence, which threatens the livelihoods, different species survival and ecosystem services (Ceballos et al., 2015). However, climate variability has always affected households in the past. Admittedly, as the impacts of climate change are becoming more pronounced, they may have adverse environmental …show more content…

It lies between latitudes 18° and 27° S with an area of approximately 58200km2 and lies within the sub-tropical areas. The country is characterized by semi-arid climatic conditions and therefore, is highly prone to reoccurring droughts, sporadic rains among other natural hazards. Botswana heavily relies on agriculture as an economic activity and a livelihood option for a greater part of its population (Masike and Urich 2008). However, this agriculture is underpinned by smallholder farming and most predominant in rural areas. Both the arable and livestock farmers faced with climate variability have to make decisions on how best to curb their crops and/ or livestock from harm and ensure that there is enough food or income generated from their agricultural ventures. However, with arable and livestock production both predominantly rain-fed and the challenge of persistent limited rainfall (Batisani and Yarnal, 2010), require sound decision making, which could either result in adverse or fruitful implications in household food security. It is therefore crucial for farmers to have precise and reliable forecasts to guide their decisions and activities including planting dates, mating livestock, harvesting dates etc. (Ziervogel, 2001). Thus, predetermining the rainfall timing, distribution and duration by predictions have proven to be key among agro-pastoralists in semi-arid regions (Masinde and Bagula, 2011; Mogotsi et al., …show more content…

The department is responsible for monitoring and using Global Circulation Models (GCMs) by downscaling to local levels to predict the local weather, seasonal and climate updates and changes (Kenabatho et al., 2012). The forecasting largely focuses on daily temperatures and seasonal rainfall predictions. Since the department launched, there has been improvements in accuracy, however there are still challenges in the usage or trust of the forecasts by communities (Batisani and Yarnal, 2010). This has led to the meteorological forecasting more predominant and preferred by the community (Mogotsi et al., 2011). However, other studies indicate that there is still skepticism around the use of the meteorology due to the lack of usage can be linked to different individuals’ different experiences prior to this technological system, lack of trust or knowledge. In most instances, most rural household demonstrate an understanding of ecosystem and complex ecological landscapes which they utilize to generate their indigenous knowledge systems that inform and develop traditional farming systems (Mogotsi et al. 2011). Like Mungoshi (1975) insinuates, elderly people are very observant of their surroundings even though we currently use technology, it doesn’t mean that they don’t make their own observations. Communities have generated climate related knowledge

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